BLM Advocates Looting

BLM Advocates Looting, by John Hinderaker.

The American press has a long history of sanitizing radical leftist movements. These days the main beneficiary of the press’s airbrush is Black Lives Matter, a racist, Marxist organization that sponsors, in reporters’ words, “mostly peaceful” riots. As with other far-left groups, BLM does not hide its true colors. It just relies on the press to misreport them.

Last night’s looting in Chicago was horrific. No respectable organization could defend such rampant criminality.

Chicago Sun-Times: BLM demands the right to loot other people’s stuff:

When protesters attack high-end retail stores that are owned by the wealthy and service the wealthy, that is not ‘our’ city and has never been meant for us,” the group said in a statement.

The group’s pro-looting policy is explicit at their protests:

Imagine an economic system where one racial group is given permission to loot. Where anyone who complains is “racist”. Living off the taxpayer is no longer enough. And serious talk of payments to one racial group from everyone else is floating around (“reparations”).

Imagine the control over the media, bureaucracy and academia required to make any of this even possible.

Imagine all the votes this will receive from the other racial groups, when they cotton on to what is happening.

Why Kamala Harris won the VP contest

Why Kamala Harris won the VP contest, by David Axlerod at CNN. First the good spin…

In choosing Kamala Harris, Biden selected the candidate who had been the frontrunner among political handicappers and betting markets for months….

Voters viewed her as among the most qualified to be president on Day One — a key positive, given Biden’s status as potentially the oldest politician to ever serve as president. …

In the end, Biden seriously considered others but returned to Harris as the “do no harm” candidate, unlikely to thrill or outrage many. …

Harris has been publicly vetted, at least partially, through her race for the White House. …

By naming her, Biden likely also has set the dynamics for the 2024 election, not just the current one. The former Vice President has not said he would stand down after one term, though given the fact that he would be 81 by the next election, it is widely assumed he would not run.

This also will place Harris in not only an historic but a historically challenging position if the Biden-Harris ticket wins. She immediately would be installed as heir apparent and putative frontrunner for the Democratic presidential nomination four years from now.

There is a reasonable chance she will be leader of the free world for almost eight years.

But not a good chance. The way things are shaping up, Trump will win easily. There will be several major lessons for the left:

  • You lost touch with voters, because you increasingly hide out in your media echo chamber where contrary facts (“reality”) are cancelled.
  • Internet and media dominance is not enough. The news leaks out. (They say the greatest enemy of the Soviet Union was the photocopier.)
  • The left needs to persuade people, not merely tell them what to do and scream “racist”.
  • Promoting increasingly naked tribalism against the largest tribe is foolhardy.
  • Identity politics — and the sexism, racism, and bigotry it entails — ultimately antagonizes more voters and their sense of fairness than can be bought off.
  • Running a candidate so unwell that he has to be hidden from the public cannot be excused.
  • Tacitly encouraging rioting is not acceptable to the mainstream.
  • Don’t let the extremists run your party.

On Kamala Harris

On Kamala Harris, by Kevin Williamson.

Joe Biden has named his 2020 running mate: authoritarianism.

American prosecutors wield awesome and terrible powers that lend themselves easily to abuse, and Senator Kamala Harris, formerly the attorney general of California, is an enthusiastic abuser of them.

Harris was a leader in the junta of Democratic state attorneys general that attempted to criminalize dissent in the matter of global warming, using her office’s investigatory powers to target and harass non-profit policy groups while she and her counterpart in New York attempted to shake down Exxon on phony fraud cases.

Until she was stopped by a federal court, Harris was laying subpoenas on organizations such as the Americans for Prosperity Foundation, a conservative-leaning group that is critical of Democratic global-warming proposals. She demanded private information that the organizations were not legally obliged to disclose, including financial information and donor lists, in order to be able to subject the supporters of right-leaning groups to legal and financial harassment. This was, as a federal judge confirmed, an obvious and unquestionable violation of the First Amendment.

It was also a serious abuse of power. Harris’s actions were coordinated with those of then attorney general Eric Schneiderman in New York, who argued — preposterously — that Exxon’s taking a different view of global warming was a form of securities fraud. This isn’t a conspiracy theory: They held a press conference and organized their effort into a committee, which they called AGs United for Clean Power. …

Democratic voices in the media were calling for the authorities to — this part is even less subtle —“arrest climate change deniers,” a project to which activists such as Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. lent their voices. And this was not idle talk: As with Harris’s abusive investigation in California, a legal pretext was offered, albeit a patently ridiculous one.

Harris’s self-serving prosecutorial abuses have been directed at political enemies, but they also put hundreds — maybe thousands — of people in jail or at risk of prosecution on wrongful grounds when it suited her agenda. As Lara Bazelon of the Loyola law school wrote in the New York Times:

Ms. Harris fought tooth and nail to uphold wrongful convictions that had been secured through official misconduct that included evidence tampering, false testimony and the suppression of crucial information by prosecutors. …

In the context of Harris’s political vendettas, that eagerness to engage in “systemic violation of the defendants’ constitutional rights” is particularly terrifying.

She seems to be the type of person the founding fathers of the US were trying to prevent from coming to rule.

James Best:

At the close of the Constitutional Convention of 1787, Franklin was queried as he left Independence Hall on the final day of deliberation. … A lady asked Dr. Franklin “Well Doctor what have we got, a republic or a monarchy.” Franklin replied, “A republic . . . if you can keep it.”

Our Constitution created a limited representative republic. A republic is different from a democracy. In a democracy, the majority can directly make laws, while in a republic, elected representatives make laws. Basically, in a pure democracy, the majority has unlimited power, whereas in a republic, a written constitution limits the majority and provides safeguards for the individual and minorities.

Harris would move the US further towards an ethos of tribalism and “might makes right”, away from a system of rules and safeguards for all.

Republicans on Harris

Republicans on Harris. This has gotta hurt.

David Horowitz:

A normal Republican would be skittish about going to the mat with the woman who if elected would — given Biden’s declining condition — be effectively the next president of the United States. After all, she’s black, and therefore untouchable.

But a look at Trump’s ad shows that, far from deferring to a political opportunist and serial liar like Harris because of her skin color, Trump is prepared to go to the mat to defeat her and her running mate.

In other words, Trump is going into battle just as if Kamala were not black — or more accurately, brown (she’s half-Indian) — which is the true measure of equal treatment, albeit a measure that Democrats’ don’t really want.

In the Trump ad the Biden-Harris ticket is skewered as “Sleepy Joe” and “Phony Kamala” — a sobriquet that underscores the Machiavellian character of a woman who called her running mate a racist before wooing him and whose only stable principle is “the ends justify the means.” In other words, Trump will take on the ticket with a woman chosen for her skin color with no punches pulled.

Not surprisingly, the Democrats’ elation at the Harris pick overlooks a reality unnoticed by ideologues who slander the president as a “white nationalist” and the most inclusive, integrated and equal nation in the world as “white supremacist.” This reality is on display in the just-released Rasmussen poll which shows that 36% of the black community supports Trump – up from 8% in the last election, and previous Republican runs. …

According to Gallup, by a factor of 81% the black community feels threatened by the destruction of America’s cities at the hands of violent mobs who hide behind the slogan “Black Lives Matter” as they carry out their dirty work. … Where has Kamala Harris been on these issues, her skin color notwithstanding? Invisible.

hat-tip Stephen Neil

Joe Biden Picks His Running Mate, and It’s a Real Head-Scratcher`

Joe Biden Picks His Running Mate, and It’s a Real Head-Scratcher, by Tyler O’Neil.

Harris comes with a great deal of baggage. While she did serve as California’s attorney general for six years, she pursued very divisive policies during that tenure. Not only did she pursue a tough-on-crime stance that she would later reject in the 2020 election, she also abused her power to attack pro-life journalist David Daleiden when he released videos exposing Planned Parenthood’s use of aborted baby body parts. She also advocated for illegal immigrants.

Harris led the fight to demonize Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. Read more about her background here.

Harris constantly touted her history as a prosecutor, but she also wanted to appear hip and court Black Lives Matter. The thing is, Harris was a “law and order” candidate in California, and that doesn’t play very well with pro-pot criminal justice reform advocates.

So the senator decided to pander — and hard. She claimed to have smoked marijuana in college while listening to Snoop Dogg and Tupac Shakur. The only problem? Harris graduated Howard University in 1986, and she got her law degree in 1989. Snoop and Tupac didn’t hit the music scene until the 1990s. Voluntary mistakes like this made her actual record a liability, and decreased her credibility, to boot.

Harris’s big stand-out moment came in the first Democratic debate. In an orchestrated moment, she attacked frontrunner Joe Biden for opposing forced busing for racial integration. …

Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii) attacked Kamala before, during, and after the second round of Democratic debates, and her attacks stuck. She said Harris was “not qualified” to serve as president because she had no military experience. During the debate, she hit Kamala for laughing about weed while jailing people for it. Ouch! …

Harris also said she believed Biden’s accusers when women came forward accusing him of making inappropriate sexual moves on them.

Kamala Harris fizzled out before the year 2020 began. She’s divisive and unappealing, and by choosing her, Biden has handed a great deal of ammunition to President Donald Trump.

What the media can and can’t say about Biden’s running mate

What the media can and can’t say about Biden’s running mate, by Paul Mirengoff.

A group called “We Have Her Back” has sent a remarkable memo to “News Division Heads, Editors in Chiefs, Bureau Chiefs, Political Directors, Editors, Producers, Reporters, and Anchors.” In the memo, the authors tell the media leaders how to cover the female whom Joe Biden will select as his running mate. They even graciously offer to provide the mainstream media with guidance as the campaign progresses. And they warn that they “will be watching you.” …

What, specifically, is off the table? Would it be out-of-bounds to point out that Kamala Harris’ rise in politics began with jobs she got with the help of a powerful, married male politician with whom she was having an affair? …

The memo from assorted Democratic operatives is a response to an obvious problem Joe Biden faces. He has decided to discriminate on the basis of gender, and possibly race, in selecting his vice presidential candidate.

Having artificially restricted the pool, he is choosing from a fairly undistinguished lot. To make things dicier, the public knows there is a good chance that, if Biden is elected, his running mate will become president before there is another presidential election.

How to get around this problem? Try to silence the media.

In other words, the “back” these feminists “have” is really Joe Biden’s.

Will they be able to induce media silence about Biden’s running mate? That’s probably the wrong question. The right questions are (1) whether the mainstream media needs to be induced and (2) whether the mainstream media has the power to control the narrative over Biden’s running mate. ..

Let’s conclude by noting the obvious hypocrisy of the “We Have Her Back” group. As Karen Townsend says:

“It is as though these liberal women expect conservatives to forget how Sarah Palin was treated. Democrats said she was uneducated, ignorant, possibly having a child that wasn’t her husband’s, a hick from Alaska, she wore the wrong clothes, she didn’t speak well, they mocked her religion, and so on. It was hideous.”

It’s different this time, just because.

Why Harris?

Why Harris? By Steven Hayward.

I think Biden chose her for the same reason John McCain chose Sarah Palin in 2008: to close the “enthusiasm gap” between him and Trump.

Surveys consistently show that Democratic voters are distinctly unenthusiastic about Biden, and the progressive left is critical of many of Biden’s positions. But the progressive left Democratic base mostly loves Harris (except for that prosecuting criminals part of her past).

The Truth About Biden Is Getting Out

The Truth About Biden Is Getting Out, by John Hinderaker.

Somehow, despite the press blockade, word about Joe Biden has gotten out. Rasmussen got this stunning poll result: 59% of respondents don’t think Biden will be around to finish a four-year term, should he be elected.

And it isn’t only Republicans who doubt that Biden will be well enough to serve out a term in office. Forty-nine percent of Democrats agree that if Biden wins, it is likely his vice-president will assume the office within four years. …

Bear in mind that it is only August. Most people haven’t yet begun paying attention to politics. The public’s perception that Joe Biden is more or less incapacitated will only grow as voters see him in action and begin following events more closely.

Of course, the Democrats want to make this year’s election a referendum on President Trump, whom they think they have fatally weakened with non-stop smears over the last four years. They might be right. But I seriously doubt that a majority of Americans will vote for a candidate whom they rightly see as suffering from seriously diminished capacities. Which raises once again the question whether Biden will actually be on the ballot in November.

Chicago Raises Bridges After Unrest and Looting Batters Downtown

Chicago Raises Bridges After Unrest and Looting Batters Downtown, by Noah Rothman.

News consumers can be forgiven for assuming that the unrest in America’s cities that erupted after George Floyd’s death had largely abated. Media’s coverage of that lawlessness has certainly ebbed, but, as events in Chicago on Sunday night demonstrated, the organized assaults on American cities did not. …

Black looters matter:

Hundreds of rioters descended on the city center — shuttled into the chaos by what seemed to be a dedicated fleet of vehicles. Cars were used to ram storefronts. A U-Haul truck appeared on the scene to facilitate the marauding. ATMs were ripped out of walls. Pharmacies were raided for prescription drugs. High-end retail storefronts were stripped bare.

This is a particularly brazen example of the lawlessness that American cities have been experiencing to some degree since the last week of May. Over the long, hot summer of 2020, cities across the country have been devastated by organized mob violence.

DNYUZ:

Chicago officials raised bridges and suspended some train and bus service Monday morning after unrest and looting caused widespread damage in the city’s downtown overnight.

John Hinderaker:

One notable feature of these videos is the absence of law enforcement. Police are hopelessly outnumbered, and looters, rioters and arsonists arrogantly assume that they can steal and burn to their hearts’ content with no interference.

Unfortunately, they are right. Few are arrested, those that are arrested are immediately set free, and the likelihood of criminal prosecution is negligible, especially in cities that have Soros-installed prosecutors who have pledged not to prosecute.

None of this is remotely viable, obviously. Through history, the normal practice has been to shoot looters. Rightly or wrongly, we are no longer willing to do that. The result, evidently, is that order cannot be maintained. Black Lives Matter sponsors riots and loot-fests, like the one last night in Chicago, with the apparently enthusiastic backing of big business and with not a word of criticism from any Democratic Party politician.

Steve Sailer:

The rationalization was some black criminal getting shot by the cops on the South Side.

Has anybody ever asked Joe Biden what his plan is for why this kind of thing won’t go on throughout his term?

What exactly are the Democrats thinking? Do they assume all this rioting and looting is just part of their plot to depose Trump, so as soon as he is gone, the rioters and looters will go home? Or do they figure that as long as they control the media, nobody will notice all the boarded up windows on Michigan Avenue, the most expensive shopping street between the coasts?

Far left activists have taken over so much of the Democrat Party that no Democrat politician has dared criticize “peaceful”, “political” rioting because systematic racism, George Floyd, etc.

Voters can see that their cities are being trashed by black looters and white anarchists. Will they vote Democrat for more of this?

It’s unusual for a major party in a western democracy to be pulled so far from the center, to be so out far out of alignment with the electorate. The move left was greatly assisted by a media echo chamber that didn’t give them feedback on how out of touch they are.

Expect a couple of election defeats to pull the Democrats back into line.

Alternatively, if by hook or by crook (such as mail in ballots) the Democrats win in November, and Trump loses, it will have a huge impact in Australia and the rest of the West because those countries will all move in the same direction. Those billionaires who’ve famously bought themselves farms etc in far-flung parts of NZ will find they’ve only bought themselves two or three years respite.

Working from home can do permanent damage to businesses and careers because knowledge transfer is broken

Working from home can do permanent damage to businesses and careers because knowledge transfer is broken, by Robert Gottliebsen.

As a result of the COVID-19 changes many Australians have discovered the delights of working from home and many enterprises are planning to readjust their workplace patterns to accommodate them.

A number of professional firms have contacted me in recent weeks warning that we may create a new generation of under-educated lawyers, architects, accountants and other professions….

I’ll describe what’s happening in architecture but exactly the same thing is occurring in the other professions. To sign off on a building project requires considerable skill and gaining that skill usually requires more than a straight university education. The up and coming architects need to talk to senior practitioners, who explain where they are going wrong. That’s how knowledge passes to the next generation.

What architects are now seeing in their firms is that the work done by juniors is emailed to remote working higher managers for approval and they make the necessary changes. But the knowledge of why the changes are required and how to learn from them simply doesn’t pass down via emailed corrections. It requires personal contact.

In the architectural business it usually takes about five or six years before a person acquires the range of skills required to go to next level. No great harm will be done using remote work for 6 to 12 months. But if it continues any longer then we will produce a whole generation of young architects who will be unable to make it to the senior ranks because they will not have the same skills as the current generation of senior architects. The long term productivity and performance of the profession will be affected.

Australia and China are currently in a state of undeclared war

Australia and China are currently in a state of undeclared war. By David Archibald.

Australia and China are currently in a state of undeclared war. This will switch to actual war at a time of China’s choosing.

It is quite apparent that China has no intention of peaceful co-existence with the rest of the world. They have stated that themselves and in recent years have attacked most of their neighbouring countries, even Bhutan.

Just because China’s war of choice will be stupid and destructive doesn’t mean that it won’t happen. It seems that the Chinese feel the need to kill millions of non-Chinese in order to be able to feel better about themselves. The fate to be avoided is the Chinese jackboot grinding into our faces forever.

It is idiotic to have trade, cultural and investment relations with a country that will attack us and our allies. There has been a theory that China would open up politically as a consequence of its growth in trade. The opposite has happened. China is using its economic strength to attack its neighbouring countries, almost all of them. It follows that Australia should decouple from China as rapidly as possible and encourage our allies to also do that.

Beyond the mechanistic aspects of comprehensive national power, there are overarching moral reasons to decouple from China as rapidly as possible. China’s organ harvesting from live individuals is morally abhorrent and repugnant. China’s threat to attack a free country which is a positive force for good in the world, Taiwan, is morally abhorrent. …

With respect to Chinese buying of land and other assets in Australia, the principle of reciprocity should be applied. Australians aren’t allowed to buy land in China and so Chinese should not be allowed to buy land in Australia. …

Companies with any Chinese ownership should be precluded from being involved in construction projects in Australia. A case in point is John Holland which was bought by Chinese interests in 2014. Sourcing of fittings, pipes and other components was switched from Australian makers to Chinese ones which have far lower standards. Thus the lead contamination in the water at the Perth Children’s Hospital built by John Holland. Brass containing lead is much easier to machine than brass made to Australian specifications and, due to the endemic cheating in Chinese manufacturing, sick Australian children would have been poisoned due to John Holland. The fixtures responsible are being replaced by the WA Government. …

As the civilised world decouples from China then China will be left with largely third world economies to trade with, which would result in its economy by shrinking by at least 20% with no prospects for growth.

This is illustrated by the following graphic showing the relative size of the world’s civilizational groupings as per the classification system devised by Professor Samuel Huntington:

China, with a base of one seventh of the world’s economic activity, has aligned itself against two thirds of the world’s economic activity.

Read it all.

Churchill was a lonely figure in British politics in the late 1930s, as he tried to warn of the impending war but was widely disbelieved. That doesn’t mean David is correct. But nor should he be dismissed just because we would prefer that war with China wasn’t on the cards.

George Floyd: The Big Lie

George Floyd: The Big Lie, by Jim Goad. Some excerpts from a longish article.

Everyone on planet Earth as well as every last penguin in Antarctica has seen the nine-minute video of Derek Chauvin kneeling on the side of George Floyd’s neck. Mind you, he wasn’t kneeling on his throat, because you can choke someone by doing that. …

Bodycam footage was suppressed, but now it’s out:

Because everyone in the American mainstream media was too scared to do it, last week the UK’s Daily Mail leaked bodycam footage from … the two Minneapolis cops who initially responded to the call and dealt with Floyd for several minutes before Chauvin and another officer … arrived to assist.

Minnesota’s Antifa-friendly Attorney General Keith Ellison — and who, as luck would have it, happens to be black, not that there’s anything wrong with it or that any of what I’ve just told you would bias him in such cases — has been aware of this footage since late May and suppressed it from being leaked long enough for rioters to burn half the country down. …

Floyd was a criminal caught in the act:

One crucial element of the story that The Narrative conveniently omits in most retellings is the fact that police were responding to a call from a convenience-store clerk who said Floyd tried passing a counterfeit twenty-dollar bill to him only moments earlier. …

Resisting arrest:

From the first second of his interaction with police, Floyd begins screaming and crying and lying.

Oh — and resisting arrest, just like in every last one of these high-profile cases. Police had to tell him seven times to put his hands on the steering wheel before he complied. When he finally gets out of the car, he keeps falling to the ground on purpose and stiffening when they attempt to cuff him. He keeps thrashing and squirming as they struggle to get him in the squad car’s backseat. …

They order him at least a half-dozen times to get into the police SUV, and he refuses each time.

In legal terms, Floyd was “actively” resisting them, and legally they had the right at that point to club him with batons to force him into the car. But they didn’t.

He kept resisting once they were able to get him in the car, too. Much has been made of the fact that Derek Chauvin knelt on Floyd’s neck for nearly nine minutes. Hardly anyone mentions the fact that Floyd resisted arrest for longer than that.

He died of a drug overdose, possibly because of an accidental release due to hooping gone wrong:

Due to Floyd’s bizarre behavior, police suspected he was on PCP.

Kueng: You got foam around your mouth, too?

Floyd: Yes, I was just hooping earlier.

“Hooping” refers to the act of inserting something into your rectum, either to hide as contraband or as a way to administer drugs. Since an autopsy concluded that the level of fentanyl in Floyd’s blood was higher than the average level of fentanyl in overdose victims, it’s reasonable to suggest that’s what he meant by “hooping.” …

According to the CDC, symptoms of a fentanyl overdose include “foaming at the mouth…and confusion or strange behavior before the person became unresponsive.” …

At most, a few dozen unarmed Americans, both black and white, die at the hands of police every year.

Over 30,000 Americans die of fentanyl overdoses every year. …

He said “I can’t breathe” 11 times, and “I’m gong to die” five times, before he even lay down and was restrained by the knee on his neck.

Before I stopped counting, I found at least eleven instances of Floyd saying “I can’t breathe” before he was finally placed on the ground and Chauvin knelt on his neck. He said this at least eleven times both while standing and while in the back of the SUV — when no one was touching his neck. …

I also counted him saying he was going to die at least five times before he was placed on the ground. So either his body was in hyperdrive because he realized he was having an adverse reaction to drugs, or a Little Black Angel suddenly appeared on his shoulder and prophesied that an Evil White Knee was about to come down on his neck and kill him. …

The big lie:

The Big Lie is that this had anything to do with race. One of the four cops is Asian, and one is half-black. At no point is race mentioned. Not once. There is zero evidence that cops restrained him for any other reason than the fact that he had just committed a crime and was resisting arrest.

If George Floyd had been white, he’d be dead, too.

The only difference is that you never would have heard his name.

Well, that plus the fact that we’d still have a country.

It’s important to realize how much the PC narrative lied by omitting relevant facts. Like the “hands up, don’t shoot” and Trayvon Martin incidents, we the public were had, by lefties with an agenda.

The financial nightmare scenario

The financial nightmare scenario, by Egon von Greyerz.

The dollar index peaked at 103 in March this year and has since then fallen 10% to 93 today. As the dollar continues to decline, US inflation will pick up. So far the official US inflation rate is just above zero. Anyone buying food or paying insurance for example knows that this is not a true figure.

All the money printed is not reaching the consumer but instead staying with banks and other major institutions to shore up their balance sheets. Very little reaches the real economy.

The graph below shows the rise in the US Money Zero Maturity stock – MZM. This is the broadest measure of liquid money. It was $4.3 trillion in 2000 and is now $21 trillion. Only since March 2020 it has increased by a massive $4 trillion.

No inflation, huh?

Central banks are today managing to artificially suppress interest rates and in the short term defy the laws of supply and demand. High demand for credit should in a free market lead to high interest rates and thus taper demand for credit. But in a world controlled and manipulated by central banks, the laws of nature are temporarily set aside. This leads to false markets and false prices.

The likely course of events in the next few years are as follows [edited]:

  • Accelerating deficits and debts
  • Unlimited money printing to save banks, a failing financial system, and failing companies
  • Ever higher subsidies for furloughed and unemployed
  • Universal Basic Income (UBI) introduced in most Western nations
    UBI means that everyone is paid a basic wage whether they work or not. This will lead to ever fewer people working
  • Higher unemployment means more printing
  • More printing leads to more currency debasement
  • Central banks lose control of rates as long end of bond market sells off. High long rates push short rates up.
  • Rates reach 5% then quickly 10% and on to 15-20% at least
  • At 10% rates, the interest cost on global debt of $275 trillion would be $27t, 34% of global GDP – totally unsustainable
  • So much more money printing required
  • Banks start falling including the $1.5 to $2 quadrillion derivatives market
  • Money printing reaches $ quadrillions leading to hyperinflation
  • The financial system collapses together with major parts of industry and society
  • Social unrest, civil wars, cyber wars and major conflict will be rampant
  • Political systems fail as governments lose control leading to anarchy

Obviously governments and central banks will desperately try to introduce resets, new digital currencies, do a bit of hocus pocus with debt to pretend it has disappeared. …

But their bluff will be called. The effects of any measure governments take will only be temporary as the world realises that it really is bankrupt.

I sincerely hope that all the above is really a nightmare in the form of a dream and will never take place. Because if it does, the world is back to the Dark Ages or the Dark Years …

If the world retraces a century of evolution or more, it is clearly in for at least 50 years of very hard times. But except for the initial shock and readjustment, life will go on for most people but at a different level. Obviously living standards will decline substantially. So will security.

At some point after they’ve become worth a lot less, the paper currencies will disappear… “poof!”.

Paper currencies have been tried many time since the Chinese original in the 1300s. The average lifespan of a paper currency is about 50 years. Our current paper currencies started in 1971, when they broke their last link to gold.

It’s time to revive the anglosphere

It’s time to revive the anglosphere, by Andrew Roberts.

The Anglosphere is the name given to all those countries in the world where the majority of people speak English as their first language, almost all of which have similar outlooks and shared values.

The four “Canzuk” countries of Canada, Australia, New Zealand and the UK are a prominent historical subset of this larger group, and there is a mounting case that some form of federation among them — with free trade, free movement of people, a mutual defence organisation and combined military capabilities — would create a new global superpower and ally of the U.S., the great anchor of the Anglosphere. …

The Canzuk countries have not just a common majority language but a common legal system, a common parliamentary and political tradition, a common military structure and tradition and a common head of state in Queen Elizabeth II. They are, moreover, racially diverse, multicultural countries with a long history of working together, including the period when their military collaboration was, in 1940-41, the sole force on the planet that resisted Nazi totalitarianism.

All they lack is geographic proximity, which in the era of the internet and post-Covid renewed air travel is no longer the insuperable barrier it once was. …

Canzuk would have a combined GDP of more than $8 trillion, placing it behind only the US, China and the EU. Its combined population of 135 million would make it the world’s ninth-largest power demographically, with much higher levels of education and GDP per capita than most of the other eight. …

Unlike the EU, however, whose leaders refused to disclose its ultimate centralising goals when it was set up in the 1950s, Canzuk would not seek an “ever closer union.” Its program for a loose confederal state linking the Westminster democracies would be clearly enunciated right from the start.

A second Anglospheric superpower would mean that the political values we share will be better defended and promoted, and a flourishing Canzuk would be a fine neighbour and trading and defence partner for the US. As the world order undergoes its most profound transition since the end of the Cold War, it is an idea whose moment has arrived.

It already sort of happens, in an ad-hoc way.