How very Stalin of you

How very Stalin of you. By Brendan O’Neill at spiked.

Every day is an uphill struggle to not feel ashamed of being Irish. Watching the land of Swift, Joyce and Wilde become the land of Kneecap, Sally Rooney and infinity tits in keffiyehs would shatter even the hardest Irish heart. This week has been especially challenging. Dublin’s insufferably smug media class has risen up like a racket of demented banshees against — wait for it — Ed Sheeran.

His crime? He refuses to hate the Jewish State as ferally and rabidly as they do.

Write songs Ed, but don’t dare to have your own opinions!

 

The Sheeranphobia that has swept the Emerald Isle is insane. Five minutes ago Sheeran was being celebrated in Ireland as the ‘culturally Irish’ penner of popular if vanilla love songs. Now he’s damned as a ‘gutless coward’ and an ‘extreme disappointment’ who should ‘never feel welcome in Ireland again’. Got that? Unless you bow and scrape before the Palestine cult and gorge on all its filthy falsehoods about Israel, Ireland will blacklist you. McCarthyism in a tricolour balaclava. …

And coming from the same people who say the Eritrean fella who arrived five minutes ago and who now aggressively panhandles outside the GPO is welcome and you’re racist if you say otherwise. …

It all springs from the Macklemore scandal. The irritant rapper famous for his 14-year-old song ‘Thrift Shop’ and his Pavlovian wails of ‘Free Palestine’ was dropped from Sheeran’s US tour after stadium bosses balked at his Israel-bashing. All of Sheeran’s other support acts and even his house band — Irish group Beoga — walked out in solidarity with Macklemore.

Sheeran’s statement saying he hates the ‘suffering’ on ‘both sides’ in the Israel-Gaza war made things worse. Doesn’t he know that sympathy for the Jews who were raped and butchered by the Islamofascists of Hamas is tantamount to a thoughtcrime in virtuous circles? Educate yourself, Ed. …

How very Stalin of you:

It’s genuinely mad. ‘Ireland disowns Ed Sheeran over Macklemore stance’, as a headline in Newsweek summed it up. Disowns! The Irish radio station Classic Hits Radio has even removed Sheeran’s songs from its playlists for the ‘foreseeable future’. Unpersoning a musician for failing to parrot political orthodoxies? …

Neutrality not allowed:

So there you have it:… You can’t choose to be apolitical about the Middle East.

The Sheeran scandal really has exposed what a one-eyed, hateful and authoritarian cult Palestinianism has become. And Ireland has been conquered by it.

Just as well left didn’t adopt that position on gays. (Tou can merely approve of gays, you don’t have to participate!)

Islam is a state, not just a religion

Islam is a state, not just a religion. By Dan Burmawi, Bestselling Author of ‘Islam, Israel and the West’.

Islam has a population: the ummah. It has a constitution: Sharia. It has courts, criminal law, family law, taxation, rules for minorities, doctrines of war and peace, and a foreign-policy framework governing relations between the land of Islam and the lands outside it.

The ummah is not tied to Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, or any other modern country. It crosses all of them.

Islam’s population “Muslims” belong to one political-religious community.

That is fundamentally different from Buddhism.

A Buddhist American may practice Buddhism faithfully, but Buddhism does not give him a second universal political order with its own law, sovereignty, territorial doctrine, and theory of government.

Islam does.

This is why reducing Islam to “just another religion” misses the point.

Muslim officeholders are literally citizens of another existing country, and their loyalties can never be American first, because the two projects are contradictory.

And the penalty for leaving Islam is death.

Where the western left is heading

Where the western left is heading. By Brianna Lyman at The Federalist.

There are now just 10 Democrats of more than 250 in Congress who have signed on to a coalition that opposes rising socialism and communism. As part of their “Promise to America,” the 10 Democrats declare (among other things): “We are capitalist, not socialist,” “We want safety, not lawlessness,” “We are proud, not ashamed of America.” That not all Democrats signed on to that in and of itself is concerning. …

Nearly 60 percent of Democrats support the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), according to a recent Quinnipiac University poll. …

The DSA is far, far left:

The DSA released a new platform in June that explicitly called for drafting “a new constitution, and creat[ing] a democratic socialist republic.” The organization also called for abolishing the Electoral College, as well as “replac[ing] the President and Supreme Court with an executive and judiciary chosen by and subordinate to Congress.”

The DSA is also pushing to “demilitarize police departments, disempower police unions, and redirect funding to public services as steps toward fully abolishing the police and prison system.” The socialists want to abolish ICE, “legalize migration, grant amnesty for all immigrants regardless of status, provide a path to citizenship for all permanent residents, and end visa caps and quotas.” …

The DSA openly pushes for what mainstream Democrats have been advancing gradually with language that is a bit more polished: destroying immigration enforcement and borders, dismantling police and prisons, and abolishing the Constitution as we know it.

Don’t be fooled by their language:

Democrats can keep pretending they are ‘moderate’ to win general elections, but moderation requires more than just saying the word over and over again.

Trends in the US usually appear in Australia after about 5 – 10 years.

The Great Replacement

The Great Replacement. By John Carter.

The left’s entire political strategy rests on demographic electorate engineering. That strategy in turn rests on the rest of us agreeing that the votes of the left’s naturalized ringers are as legitimate as the votes of natural-born citizens.

The left is accelerating this vote-packing all over the world. In Spain and France they’re explicit about this strategy: they openly brag that they’re going to Great Replace the native population, because the immigrants will vote for socialism, and the natives won’t.

We saw this work in Sweden a few days ago, where, ironically, the ringers who decided the election were naturalized by a nominally right-wing government that allowed itself to be brow-beaten into ‘following the rules’ and extending citizenship where they were ‘obligated’ to.

The ruling class insists we’re not allowed to say this. But there is an obvious truth here, even if it is not expressed delicately enough to fit through their Overton window.

High trust societies

High trust societies. By Alice Smith.

High-trust societies are not created by government legislation.

They are created over time by shared values and identity.

In fact, societies saturated by laws are a symptom of low-trust.

Commenter:

When I was student intern in Vienna Austria during the summer of 1981, I rode the streetcars daily and observed all the Viennese punching their own tickets. Try that in NYC.

What the recent AI-doomsterism is really about

What the recent AI-doomsterism is really about. By Robert Malone.

The deeper story of Netflix is not simply that another American corporation drifted left, adopted DEI, and began producing programming that many Americans find politically tiresome. It is the story of how entertainment, politics, government, technology, and the management of information have gradually converged, with Barack Obama and the political network surrounding him appearing repeatedly at the intersections. …

Culture -> politics:

Netflix formally incorporated “inclusion” into its corporate culture in 2017. … Netflix explicitly connected representation inside the corporation with representation on the screen: who gets hired, who gets to tell stories, and who tells stories with which stories audiences ultimately see.  … What critics later called “woke Netflix” was therefore not simply an accidental accumulation of unusually progressive writers and producers. Netflix itself described inclusion as part of the machinery through which content was created.

The most powerful cultural assumptions are often the ones the audience is not consciously debating at all. Ideas about race, sex, gender, marriage, government, capitalism, social democracy, American history, and social justice can be incorporated into entertainment until they simply become part of the fictional world being consumed.

The viewer never has to agree to attend the lecture because there appears to be no lecture. The action movie gets the viewer through the door. The cultural assumptions come with the subscription. …

The Obama network:

Obama’s presidency had ended years earlier, but the network had not. Political power had become institutional power, capable of surviving the individual administration that created it. …

On April 21, 2022, Obama delivered a major address [at Stanford] .. The subject was …. the architecture of information itself. Obama discussed algorithms, social media, disinformation, platform responsibility, Section 230, and the effect of digital information systems on democracy. …

“What does still nag at me, though, was my failure to fully appreciate at the time just how susceptible we had become to lies and conspiracy theories despite having spent years being a target of disinformation myself. Social media companies already make choices about what is or is not allowed on their platforms and how that content appears, both explicitly through content moderation and implicitly through algorithms. The problem is we often don’t know what principles govern those decisions in some cases, industry standards may replace or substitute for regulation, but regulation has to be part of the answer.”

The new censorship:

What this all establishes is a striking convergence: Obama was publicly calling for greater intervention in the digital information environment from within an institutional ecosystem already deeply involved in building mechanisms through which government, academia, and technology companies could identify, refer, moderate, suppress, or otherwise reduce the reach of information deemed false or harmful. …

The argument was presented in the reassuring vocabulary that has become familiar throughout the Western political establishment: democracy, safety, truth, responsible platforms, healthier discourse, misinformation, and protection from manipulation.

But underneath every one of those abstractions sits a very old and very dangerous political question. Who decides what constitutes misinformation? Who decides which speech is dangerous? Who determines what gets amplified, suppressed, demonetized, labeled, or removed? And what happens when the government officials, foundations, academics, corporations, and technology companies answering those questions overwhelmingly share the same political and cultural worldview? What happens when that viewpoint is skewed by globalism, leftist propaganda, and woke ideologies? …

For Americans whose speech was restricted, labeled, suppressed, or algorithmically buried during the COVID era [or the global warming debate, before that], the issue is not theoretical. The danger exists whenever government officials, politically aligned institutions, and enormously powerful information companies begin sharing assumptions about what constitutes dangerous information. No smoky room is required. No secret memorandum has to be signed. Institutional alignment can accomplish a remarkable amount when the people staffing government, foundations, universities, media companies, and technology platforms have already reached similar conclusions about what constitutes truth, misinformation, equity, democracy, social justice, and acceptable speech.

Religion -> culture -> politics:

Politics is downstream from culture” is the famous quote attributed to Andrew Breitbart, the American media publisher and conservative commentator who passed away in 2012.

The phrase … posits that political outcomes are a result of prevailing cultural values, beliefs, and norms. Consequently, the doctrine argues that to effect meaningful political change, one must first shift the broader culture.

An axiom of this is that scientism has replaced religion, and this is associated with a priesthood of anointed physicians and scientists. And, as any theology student will attest, religion is upstream of culture.

These channels do not have to be centrally coordinated to reinforce one another. Politics determines rules. Information systems determine which arguments people encounter. Culture shapes many of the assumptions through which people interpret those arguments. One operates through elections and government. Another operates through algorithms, search, moderation, and information distribution. The third operates through stories, heroes, villains, historical narratives, children’s programming, documentaries, and entertainment. Taken together, they represent a far more sophisticated mechanism of cultural influence than anything Edward Bernays could have imagined when he wrote Propaganda nearly a century ago.

AI:

And now the same argument has arrived at artificial intelligence. In September 2026, …. Obama urged Democrats to make artificial intelligence a central part of their agenda and argued that, if Democrats regain control of the House after the midterm elections, they should establish a framework for a major public conversation about AI….

And a week later we got the current outbreak of AI doomerism, which is obviously a psyop:

Obama’s history makes a different question unavoidable: what exactly will be regulated?

Artificial intelligence is rapidly becoming the machinery through which Americans search for information, summarize history, compare arguments, evaluate evidence, write, create media, and increasingly understand the world.

Regulation of AI therefore has implications extending far beyond whether a chatbot produces a dangerous recipe or a convincing deepfake. The rules governing AI can potentially influence the boundaries within which machines are permitted to answer questions at all. It will be and already is the next frontier in government censorship. …

Who benefits from regulation of AI?

OpenAI, Anthropic, Google and the other industry giants can afford armies of lawyers, compliance officers, safety researchers and government-relations specialists. A startup, university laboratory or independent developer cannot. Regulations requiring expensive testing, licensing and government approval can therefore protect the companies already dominating AI while making it far harder for new competitors to challenge them.

Government gains something too. An Obama political circle that has spent years arguing that the “information environment” must be managed and regulated now has an opportunity to help write the rules governing the technology that may soon become the world’s primary gateway to information. The extraordinary concentration of corporate and government power produced by their proposed solutions should scare us all.

Going global:

Nor is this confined to the United States. Europe has already moved much further toward regulating online speech and artificial intelligence through the Digital Services Act and AI Act. But the internet does not respect national borders. Global technology companies that want access to Europe’s 450 million consumers must comply with European rules, and it can be easier to build those restrictions into their global platforms than maintain entirely separate systems. The result is the so-called “Brussels Effect”: European regulators can influence what Americans see, what platforms permit, and how AI behaves without Americans ever voting for a single one of them.

Conclusion:

The Western world is deciding who will govern the information systems of the twenty-first century. Netflix initially looked like a story about an entertainment company that became political. It turns out to be a window into something much larger. Barack Obama’s post-presidential career has repeatedly converged on institutions that shape political leadership, popular culture, and the flow of information.

A government does not have to burn books to acquire enormous influence over political discourse. It can pressure platforms, define misinformation, regulate algorithms, establish rules for artificial intelligence, and encourage private institutions to police information according to standards government itself helped establish. At the same time, cultural institutions can normalize a political worldview through entertainment until ideas that were once controversial simply become the background assumptions of everyday life.

 

A 1930s book burning by national socialists

 

Each piece can be defended individually as reasonable. Netflix is only telling stories. … Stanford is only studying disinformation. The Obama Foundation is only training leaders. Government officials are only protecting people from misinformation. Regulators are only making AI safe. The political network is only helping Democratic candidates win elections. Perhaps every individual involved sincerely believes exactly that. The problem appears when all of these pieces are placed beside one another and the direction of travel becomes visible. The danger is not necessarily a conspiracy. The danger is a system in which the same political assumptions increasingly dominate the institutions that produce culture, define misinformation, regulate information technology, train political leadership, and determine the permissible boundaries of digital speech.

That is why the question of whether Netflix has become “woke” now seems almost quaint. Netflix is only one piece of a much larger struggle over who gets to shape the stories Americans hear, which information Americans find, and increasingly which answers their machines are permitted to give them.

Ronald Reagan famously warned that freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. The modern threat to that freedom may not arrive wearing jackboots or carrying a list of banned books. It may arrive promising safety, inclusion, equity, responsible information, and the protection of democracy itself. Edward Bernays understood a century ago that the most effective propaganda does not feel like propaganda.

Completely unrelated:

hat-tip Scott of the Pacific, Stephen Neil

Is Peace at Hand in Ukraine?

Is Peace at Hand in Ukraine? By Niall Ferguson in The Free Press.

Speaking … at the opening of the YES conference in Kyiv on Friday, [Jared] Kushner said that the key elements of a peace agreement were largely in place, with the exception of “territory,” an allusion to the Donbas region. The other elements — security guarantees for Ukraine and a “deconfliction mechanism” — had been in place since the last trilateral meeting of Russian, Ukrainian, and U.S. representatives in Abu Dhabi in January.

“If Ukraine were willing to move back to Putin’s desired line,” Kushner said, “the rest of the deal would be ready.” ...

That is, of course, a very big “if,” given the consistent refusal of the Ukrainian government to accept territorial cessions. … [Kushner] elicited incredulous laughter when he said Putin was sincere about peace talks. However, he responded: “Everything looks impossible until right before it’s achieved.” …

Military:

A year ago, I was quite concerned about Ukraine’s thinly stretched armed forces. However, Ukraine’s advances in military technology have more than compensated for these vulnerabilities. …

Nevertheless, Russia has responded in ways that dispel any notion of a Ukrainian victory. Russia continues to strike Ukrainian cities every day with drones and missiles, while Ukraine’s air defenses are much less effective than a year ago. Not only is there a shortage of Patriot interceptors; Russia has also switched to jet-powered strike drones that are much harder to intercept. Moreover, the Ukrainians are fearful that Russia is close to deploying its own version of Starlink. …

Economic:

Both the Ukrainian and Russian economies are showing signs of strain, but the strain is greater in Ukraine.

From the outset, this war has been a contest between David and Goliath. The International Monetary Fund estimates that the Russian population is 4.4 times larger than Ukraine’s and the Russian economy is 11.8 times larger (on a current dollar basis). Ukraine’s growth has stalled this year. …

Russia’s fiscal situation is ugly but workable. …

Those who continue to talk about the outcome of the war being determined by a Russian economic crisis are missing the point. It is Ukraine that is much closer to a crisis. …

China:

Russia’s war effort relies increasingly on China, but it is made available on commercial terms, not as aid. Bilateral trade between Moscow and Beijing is on track to hit an all-time high of roughly $280 billion this year. Russia now relies on China for roughly 57 percent of its total imports, compared with 13 to 14 percent before the war. China supplies around 90 percent of Russia’s sanctioned tech imports. While Beijing stops short of sending finished military hardware, it provides billions in dual-use goods — microchips, drones, and tools. And China buys about 50 percent of all Russian crude oil exports, 37 percent of its exported coal, and 31 percent of its pipeline gas. It has even defied U.S. sanctions by ramping up imports from Russia’s newer Arctic LNG 2 project. Over the last two decades, Russia has also accumulated $169.3 billion in total debt to China.

To an extent that is underappreciated, the war in Ukraine is now a proxy war between the EU and China. The difference is that China makes a profit from backing Russia. …

Political:

This is a war between a fledgling democratic nation-state and a fascist empire. In this regard, too, it is not a fair fight. Putin’s opposition is either dead, in jail, or in exile. Not so Zelensky’s. …

Ordinary Ukrainians are thoroughly sick of this war and filled with foreboding as winter approaches. … Zelensky may need a ceasefire, but he would surely not survive politically if he relinquished territory Ukraine has succeeded in defending. …

The obvious path for Putin is simply to press on through the winter, waging total war against Ukraine and exploiting his advantages, …

The trends in European politics are not friendly to Ukraine. In France, Rassemblement National leader Marine Le Pen is the favorite to succeed Emmanuel Macron as French president. In Germany, the chancellorship of Friedrich Merz is crumbling as the Alternative für Deutschland gains ground in regional elections. In Italy, Giorgia Meloni risks being outflanked by the neo-fascist Roberto Vannacci’s Futuro Nazionale. All the European populist parties are skeptical about the war in Ukraine, if not overtly pro-Russian. …

The recent U.S. visitors to Moscow offered Putin a stark choice: “Press on with the war and we will continue to provide the Ukrainians with targeting intelligence; or settle this diplomatically and we can give you the kind of economic rehabilitation you will not get from anyone else.” As usual, the Kushner-Witkoff team approaches a classic diplomatic problem — how to end a war — with the techniques of the New York real estate market. In effect, the Ukrainians are being told to sell the remaining territory they control in Donetsk at an attractive price in the form of postwar funding for reconstruction and investment. …

The Americans seem to think Putin is finally ready for serious talks in which he would effectively concede the rump Ukraine’s right to a continued independent existence, minus Crimea and Donbas.

Great article, if you’re looking for a long read.

Immigration: It’s not just about numbers

Immigration: It’s not just about numbers. By Celina101.

An extraordinary amount of our public life has been organised around identifying racism, denouncing racism and ensuring that everybody understands how thoroughly opposed to racism our major institutions are.

What does “racism” even mean? Most of us use the original meaning, the one implied by 1948 Declaration of Human Rights, that racism is treating people differently on the basis of their race.

But back when “Black Lives Matter” was raging, many on the left said that all whites are racists and all non-whites are not racist. And in 2024 the Australian left insisted that the Voice was not racist, and that to oppose it was racist, despite the Voice explicitly basing people’s political rights on their race — just like under Apartheid in South Africa, which the left used to describe as the epitome of racism. DEI obviously treats people differently according to their race (otherwise, why bother?), but the left claims DEI is “anti-racist”.

The left appear so confused about racism. But they’re not really. Lefties are careful never to define racism, but by amazing coincidence, all their opponents — always and everywhere — are guilty of racism.

The charge of racism was working until about five minutes ago, politically speaking. Once someone was called a “racist”, the person on the receiving end of the accusation was expected to spend the rest of the conversation explaining that they were a decent human being. Any argument that they were originally intent on making got lost beneath the much more urgent business of proving their innocence. …

There was a perfect case study of this in August on Radio National, when Barnaby Joyce spent half of his time trying to articulate why One Nation was not racist or homophobic.

This type of rhetoric wins over no one. The reassurance tour is a concession in itself, as your opponent still gets to decide which accusation you must spend your time answering instead of talking about your actual policies. Hanson’s political appeal depends in part on the impression that she will withstand their disapproval. …

Immigration:

[The left, represented here by The Guardian,] have the direction of these grievances completely backwards. They think economic grievance is being turned into racism, but what they’re actually witnessing is the reverse. What they call racism is being turned into economic grievance.

Many people object to immigration because they dislike the character of the demographic change itself. They care about who is coming, where they come from and what the country is becoming. For some, the objection is explicitly to non-white immigration. …

The difficult possibility for progressives is that concerns about demographic and cultural change have an independent political force among people the left still regards as its natural constituency. That is why the instruction to return to economics is so telling. In practice, it concedes that Hanson has an advantage on identity, then tries to move the conversation somewhere the Labor movement feels entitled to win.

It’s about culture, not skin color. But try getting a lefty to admit that.

White culture is a truth culture, which makes it distinct from nearly all other cultures, which are honor cultures (with some honorable exception to north east Asia). In honor culture, the tribe and status matter more than truth, so they are low-trust. In truth culture, principles and truth matter more than your group identity, so they are high trust, and doing business with strangers is easy. People of any culture can assimilate to white culture, in which case they are welcome in Australia because they fit in easily.

So how does the leftist Australian government deal with the upwelling over immigration?

Labor will crack down on backpackers, who are mainly from the UK and Europe, as part of immigration policy changes announced today. …

Labor is trying to cut European migration to protect Asian immigration.

Immigrants from honor cultures mostly vote left, because the left is fully into identity politics and handing out goodies on a tribal basis.

Why AfD is so successful

Why AfD is so successful. By Michael Arouet.

I had dinner with a friend from Germany tonight and asked why the AfD is so successful.

He told me about a 55-year-old German woman who lost her sight. Her disability allowance application was rejected, so she now has to work in a call center.

At the same time, a story went viral in Germany about a Syrian man with several wives and countless “children” pocketing €100k in welfare benefits, despite polygamy being illegal in Germany. €100k plus free rent and free healthcare, paid from the taxes of the blind woman working in the call center.

Commenters:

You missed the fact that the Syrian man collecting 100.000€/year in benefits because he has 32 children from 3 wives is also patriarch of a clan terrorizing Leipzig

Immigration: It’s not just about numbers.

Labor announces new immigration policy, essentially the same as its old immigration policy

Labor announces new immigration policy, essentially the same as its old immigration policy. By Peter van Onselen in The Daily Mail.

Tony Burke finally made it to the National Press Club this afternoon, to unveil Labor’s long awaited immigration reforms. …

It was that such a modest collection of measures took six weeks of cabinet warfare, political panic and public humiliation to finally produce. …

Denies mass immigration:

Burke got stuck into the idea that Australia is a mass migration country, dismissing the notion as ‘absurd’.

A stunning graph shows just how much Australia’s population has grown compared to other nations:

 

 

Why? Because of mass migration. … And in the last quarter of a century it has accelerated the population well beyond the infrastructure capabilities to cope with it.

To suggest otherwise, as Burke did, is utterly absurd, and makes it harder to trust everything else he had to say today. …

Labor’s not cutting immigration significantly:

Burke’s plan is essentially a plan to meet the existing plan. Labor already forecast that net overseas migration would fall from around 300,000 to 225,000 by 2027-28. The measures announced on Thursday are designed to ensure reality finally conforms with that Treasury forecast. …

The permanent migration program remains at 185,000. The humanitarian intake remains at 20,000 (according to sources, Burke wanted to lower it but Prime Minister Albanese overruled him).

International student numbers are largely untouched. And the net overseas migration forecast of 225,000 hasn’t been lowered one little bit. …

Burke has merely announced regulatory changes designed to stop Labor overshooting its own target yet again. …

Skills or left-voters? One of these priorities is obviously a joke:

Australia is supposedly importing skills to fill shortages, yet doctors, engineers and other qualified professionals are driving Ubers or working in jobs that make little use of their expertise because recognition and licensing systems are slow, expensive and completely fragmented. …

More than 250,000 permanent migrants with qualifications in regulated professions are estimated to be working beneath their skill levels. Think about that. The economic cost has been put at around $9 billion annually.

Interesting:

“Africa (excl. South Africa)” includes Zimbabwe.

hat-tip Stephen Neil

 

The Great AI Debate Goes Political

The Great AI Debate Goes Political. By Edward Dowd.

Winter is coming for the AI industry, and the great houses are already drawing swords

  • On one side sit OpenAI and Anthropic, wrapping themselves in the banner of “safety”…House Monopoly.
  • On the other sit the accelerationists including David Sacks, President Trump, and a growing faction that wants the pathway cleared, not blocked…House Speed Racer.

The fight is being sold as existential risk versus national destiny. This is a battle for power, money, and control. The average citizen is not at the table. …

House Monopoly wants regulation by government to exclude competitors and thus rescue them financially:

Basically House Monopoly wants embedded evaluators inside the labs and common safety standards. Coordination that would require government blessing and, conveniently, an antitrust waiver so the two biggest closed model shops can sit in a room and decide how fast everyone else is allowed to run and regulate their competition out of existence. This is not altruism, rather this is regulatory capture.

The reasons for attempting this regulatory capture are simple … Open source models are putting real pricing pressure on the closed frontier systems. The closed system companies are burning cash with profitability nowhere in sight. Enterprises are finally asking about ROI [return on investment] and whether they want their data sitting inside OpenAI or Anthropic. Secondary market valuations are starting to crack. Growth is slowing and capex is increasingly getting harder to finance. …

House Monopoly wants a licensing cartel and a fusion of frontier AI with the administrative state for “safety reasons”…the digital jailer many have been warning about. …

House Speed Racer wants competition and to beat China:

House Speed Racer has not been subtle. Trump called the panic a hoax and a scam. He said the only guardrails AI needs are a strong president, that we already have criminal and regulatory power over these companies, and that whoever wins AI wins. Sacks, who has been in this fight longer than most, told Amodei and Altman they can pace themselves if they want, but stop pretending they need Washington to bless a cartel. Stop asking for the waiver. Stop dressing market protection as public salvation. …

House Speed Racer wants the throttle open because the alternative according to them is losing the race to China …

The left backs House Monopoly, MAGA backs House Speed Racer:

The alignment is political, and everyone in the room knows it.

The safety rhetoric travels most easily through Democratic networks, legacy NGOs, the parts of the administrative state that grow when fear grows and of course the MSM.

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s handpicked super-woke globalists he thinks will save us from an AI apocalypse

 

The acceleration side is MAGA coded: beat China, build here, do not hand the future to Brussels-style bureaucrats or to companies that spent years positioning themselves as the moral opposition to the current administration. That camp is not wrong that a slowdown written by the current leaders is a gift to Beijing. However it is also not wrong that data center buildouts, power prices, and labor displacement are already landing on regular people who never got a vote. …

The future is very undecided:

The ultimate governor for both sides is the credit market and its willingness to fund this so far profitless endeavor. …

There are no easy choices in this situation. Real risks exist…models that can crack cyber security and wreak havoc are not science fiction. Alternatively steam rolling local communities into accepting data centers is not the path forward.