Government defeats empirical evidence in New Zealand, but all-cause mortality is nonetheless up by 22% since covid vaccination

Government defeats empirical evidence in New Zealand, but all-cause mortality is nonetheless up by 22% since covid vaccination. By Tracey Schubert.

New Zealand’s all-cause mortality is up 22%. This is not a footnote! This is a national emergency that is not being treated as one. This has happened since the “vaccines” were rolled out in February 2021

According to data from Health New Zealand, 85.5% of New Zealanders over the age of 12 were fully “vaccinated” i.e. received two “vaccines” and many more went on to take booster shots. …

Facts from the best-placed whistleblower ever:

Barry Young was a senior Oracle Database Administrator who worked on New Zealand’s COVID Vaccination System. He was the sole administrator of New Zealand’s pay-per-dose vaccination database — meaning he had direct access to the most complete vaccination and mortality data in the country. No one else in the World had this position or opportunity which is why his disclosure is so vital and so important and so significant. …

Young identified sharp clusters of deaths following COVID “vaccination” — statistically impossible to attribute to coincidence. As a data analyst he stated clearly that being vaccinated gave a person a 60% higher chance of dying according to the data he was analysing.

He released anonymised data — with zero personal identifiers — because he believed the public deserved to know. …

The government comes down on him and the media pretends nothing happened:

For this act he was raided by police, arrested, and charged with accessing computer systems for a dishonest purpose. He has pleaded not guilty and his case has now dragged on for over 1000 days of legal proceedings in Wellington District Court.

His Whistleblower hearing was held on December 11-12, 2025 in closed court. Supporters held signs outside thanking him. New Zealand Doctors Speaking Out with Science (NZDSOS) attended in solidarity. No Mainstream Media covered it meaningfully!

The Crown’s position is that Young lacked “expert credentials” to qualify as a Whistleblower — despite the fact that he was the person who built and maintained the database containing the evidence. How does this work?

The judge reportedly told the court he wanted to see the data. The Crown gave it to their own expert witness — the one who had previously declared the vaccine “extremely safe.” …

Shuush:

Barry Young attempted to submit his evidence to the COVID-19 Inquiry. His submission was rejected under Section 20 of the Inquiries Act, citing a data injunction.

Think about that carefully. A man with direct access to the Government’s own “vaccination” mortality database was prevented from submitting that evidence to the Government’s own inquiry into COVID. …

So what’s doing all the killing?

New Zealand’s all-cause mortality is up 22% above historical baseline. This is a documented statistical reality. …

The official position is essentially that it remains “under investigation” or is “attributable to various factors” unrelated to “vaccination.”

The main idea of science is that empirical data is a higher source of truth than any authority figure or text — including the Pope, Aristotle, a government, the Bible, the International Panel on Climate Change, Pfizer, etc. All that has been turned on its head by the globalists.

The last fifty years has seen an unscientific revolution in the West, as the power mongering idiot class resumed control after three hundred years, taking us back to the old ways.

hat-tip Scott of the Pacific

Alice Smith vs Alexandra Marshall

Alice Smith vs Alexandra Marshall. First, Alice Smith:

Race is for lefties:

The truth is that I’m not really interested in race — I’m interested in ideology.

The truth also is that the Left are making me interested in race because they keep going on about it so much as part of their ideology.

Islamic migration:

If Muslims were the most law-abiding, hard-working, well-educated, productive, patriotic, peaceful people in the UK, there would be zero talk of “Islamophobia” or remigration.

An aside by Colonel Otaku Gatekeeper:

Yesterday in Hadano, two Muslims in hijabs broke into Soyajinja shrine. Myoenji Temple a Buddhist temple near the Shrine was also broken into. I think we know who’s been starting the fires now.

 

Equality:

There will be no true equality until everyone can get called a racist.

Culture:

I don’t have to argue that western culture is the best.

I merely have to point to the millions from other places who want in.

And who runs the state?

What socialists say: “Power to the people!”

What socialists mean: “Power to the state!”

Nazis:

I don’t claim that Hitler was a socialist because his party was called the National Socialists — although that’s a hint.

I claim Hitler was a socialist because of his socialist policies — collectivism, statism, identity politics, controlled economy, central planning, nationalisation, censorship, gun confiscation.

Is it me? Or is it just you?

I’m convinced that a main motivating factor for many (most?) European leaders is a hatred of Christianity.

They are actively and deliberately choosing Marxism and Islam instead.

Now for Alexandra Marshall.

Multiculturalism:

John Howard: “I don’t like multiculturalism. I think it was a mistake.”

This statement is very close to what Pauline Hanson said at that now-infamous National Press Club address. And yet there was no follow up, existential outrage from the media.

Migration is about much more than numbers:

Former Labor advisor doesn’t understand that Australia is a proudly WESTERN NATION and has every moral and ethical right to control its migration in a way that protects the culture of its population.

We are not numbers on Labor’s endless tax spreadsheet.

We are people, with a history, a future, beliefs, and rights.

Keep writing op eds like this — watch the polls rise for One Nation.

 

And let’s not even start on Joanne Nova.

Trump won on Greenland, media goes quiet

Trump won on Greenland, media goes quiet. By Arnaud Bertrand:

Looks like what happened was:

Trump: “We’re going to buy Greenland!”

Denmark: “Absolutely not, Greenland is not for sale! But you can have it for free”

(I’m aware that Denmark is saying they kept “sovereignty” over it, but not sure what that word means when another country has permanent veto power over who can invest on your territory and occupies the place militarily) …

Long story short — which may surprise some — the Danes lied the most: Trump is pretty much correct in saying that this new deal grants the US control of Greenland. …

Summary of deal:

  • The US secured a permanent military foothold that even an independent Greenland would inherit whether it likes it or not
  • The US now has veto power over any non-NATO military presence in Greenland, and over who can invest in its strategic infrastructure and resources (beyond NATO and the EU)
  • Denmark signed away its say over the principle of new US bases, with only the right to discuss the “implementation details”
  • Danish authorities no longer set the rules for US military movement across the island
  • And all of it is now justified by the defense of “the American continent”

John Hinderaker:

I don’t know in which universe this even remotely “recognizes the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Kingdom and the Greenlandic people’s right to self-determination,” as Danish PM Mette Frederiksen put it.

Yes, the preamble of the text cynically “reaffirms” Danish sovereignty but, in my book, when you let a foreign country put bases on your soil, move its troops without following your rules and veto who else can come in, in perpetuity, after it spent two years threatening to take you by force, the word for that is anything but “recognized sovereignty.”

Greenland comes with a long history of deceptive naming, like “green land.”

Globalist PM Albanese wins Global Citizen Award in New York

Globalist PM Albanese wins Global Citizen Award in New York. By The Mocker in The Australian.

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese honored as a ‘global citizen’ by the Atlantic Council in New York

 

Albanese has embarked on many things as prime minister that would meet with the UN’s approval.

He has, for example, allowed antisemitism to flourish in Australia, thanks to his Muslim vote by drawing equivalence with Islamophobia. And he has turned his back [with] abrogation and stonewalling. Even when forced to act, he has tried to appease the [UN] on Israel, a longstanding friend of Australia, by recognising Palestine.

He has expanded the welfare state to obscene proportions, while at the same time targeting self-made investors and playing to the animus of envy. He has massively increased the numbers of the Australian Public Service. He has signed up to the renewables fallacy in the name of addressing climate change — a phenomenon the late British prime minister Margaret Thatcher said provided “a marvellous excuse for worldwide, supranational socialism”.

He is a champion of divisive identity politics, having attempted but failed to embed a race-based lobby group in the constitution. Having long sought to sideline public criticism and curtail debate under the guise of combating misinformation and disinformation, he now claims he wants to protect us from online “harmful’’ content with his so-called Digital Duty of Care Bill — a proposal the US embassy in Canberra rightfully warned would amount to “facilitating censorship”.

Far from being unworthy of the honour, Albanese is everything the modern global citizen now stands for, and the UN is the ideal place for him to receive it.

It’s official. Our PM is a globalist.

Book: Building Australia’s Defence

Book: Building Australia’s Defence. By David Archibald.

My book on defence is now available for free as a pdf file.

From the introduction:

There is not much time left to get things right.

Two major wars are raging at the moment and neither show any sign of ending soon. China has promised to attack a major democratic country and kill a large number of its people. Japan will join in that war on the side of the victims, because a Chinese win would ultimately result in Japan’s extinction as a people. The country we have fought and bled with for the last hundred years and more, the United States, has decided to go rogue and renege on many of its commitments under treaties, pacts and understandings; as well as threatening Greenland with invasion.

Further complicating things, the psychopathic elites in the West are in contempt of their own peoples, deliberately setting out to degrade their lives and the lives of subsequent generations. First there was the import of people with third world cultures to lower their standard of living, then the development of a virus that would make their lives sicker and shorter. There was also the adoption of global warming as the state religion in most Western countries, to make us poorer. At the same time, the economic underpinning of our civilisation — oil supply — is peaking and will be followed by the decline of the other fossil fuels.

The forces at play outside Australia are bad enough. On top of all that, in this Country we are now led by politicians who can’t define what a woman is and persecute those who can, who have lowered the standard of living of many by making housing unaffordable, who are delegitimising Australia as a country by putting Aboriginal names on everything and thus making it not worth defending, who are waging a culture war against good, inspirational Australians such as Ben Roberts-Smith and Kirralie Smith, who are destroying industry on the altar of global warming, and who are deliberately squandering money on the National Disability Insurance Scheme to blow out the national debt and leave our Country hobbled.

At the same time, they show a form of higher intelligence in the ability to hold two contradictory ideas in their heads at the same time. In this case it is the notion that they can destroy Australia’s industrial base with Net Zero, while at the same time building a defence force for the troubled times ahead. It is more likely that they simply don’t care.

To even survive as a people, we have to wrest control of the Country from these self-loathing degenerates and take Australia in the right direction. For that to succeed, we need to know where we want to be and the path to take to get us there. That is the purpose of this policy document on defence.

Spend less or tax more: it’s Jim Chalmers’ call, say experts

Spend less or tax more: it’s Jim Chalmers’ call, say experts. By Thomas Henry in The Australian.

“Many countries (are running) very large government deficits, and there are no particular signs that these are coming down,” [RBA governor Michele Bullock] said during a fireside chat in Sydney

“This is adding to financing ­issues for governments. And if the economy is growing more slowly than the interest rate they are being charged, then that is just going to keep widening over time. So that’s the challenge.” …

KPMG chief economist Brendan Rynne warned decades of budget deficits would become incredibly politically damaging for any government as households ultimately picked up the bill for higher government debt.

Politicians always choose the inflationary route rather than keeping the money supply near constant because it is not as obvious that they are to blame for inflation (because of the one or two year lag between their overspending and the ensuing inflation, and because the media has thoroughly confused most people about inflation).

The one exception was in 1930, where the US Fed choose to rein in the money supply in response to the debt/banking crisis — and the Great Depression followed. Central bankers have since made it very clear they will never do that again. The response now is always to print instead, to accommodate whatever spending the politicians feel is necessary.

All this tough talk about raising interest rates is a bluff. Eventually the central banks will collapse and give way to the inflation. Caught between a rock and a hard place, doing an impossible job.

Coalition updates their climate policy, and it’s good …but not good enough

Coalition updates their climate policy, and it’s good …but not good enough. By Joanne Nova.

Angus Taylor won’t find the killer one liners he needs to win the election, because [the Coaltion are] still balancing precariously on the fence. They still won’t get out of The Paris Agreement, and they won’t set targets for Net Zero until after the election, which sounds ominously vague, not like people who know what the country needs — the cheapest energy it can get. …

The solar-power-baby has been subsidized for a quarter of a century, just like the windmills-of-wonderful-weather. When will it end? When do these babies grow up and compete in a free market? Is that never? Not only are they still subsidized directly, we build their billion dollar interconnectors too, and subsidize the battery backup, the synchronous condensors, and the pumped hydro that they need to do anything useful. The subsidies pile on subsidies until the free market dies of dementia and the cheapest energy is driven out of business. …

 

The Coalition team could start by calling out Chris Bowen, who is speaking outrageous untruths:

Mr Bowen said he expected the next election would again be a referendum on nuclear …

He highlighted “sensible solutions that Australians are backing” such as almost 550,000 home batteries, which he predicted would rise to about one million by the next election. Mr Bowen said these one million households would not only have reduced bills but “reduce prices for everyone else”

The Coalition need to start explaining to everyone that the half a million households with solar power and batteries have made electricity more expensive for other Australians not less. Someone needs to say as diplomatically as possible, that nearly all solar panels were subsidized through electricity bills that mostly came from people without solar panels. Most Australians had no idea. They thought they were helping the nation. It may break the Liberal and National Party’s hearts to admit this (because they endorsed it).

Once upon a time we all had cheap electricity, not just the half million who got a hand out. And the free market can get us back there. But the science needs to be audited, the energy cartels must be disbanded, the subsidies for solar and wind power and batteries must stop. If solar makes any five minute period cheaper, it makes the cold dark hours at night more expensive. The total system cost is always higher with random intermittent generators.

 

 

The Coalition thinks if it feeds the crocodile and talks about carbon emissions like they matter (a bit) the lefty machine, the Blob media will be a bit nicer to them. But they will be called cage-rattling science-deniers anyway. …

We’re in a cold war, against adversaries that are building as much cheap power as they can get, while we pretend to stop droughts in 100 years by crippling our energy supply and sending our factories to China. It’s not science, it’s witchcraft and sorcery, and we’re falling for it. How many solar panels does it take to stop a heatwave in Sudan? If we cover the country in windmills will we stop bushfires for ever? …

Just keep repeating, the science needs to be audited, the climate models ignore most of the solar factors, and China built three times our entire coal powered grid system last year. Just say 78 Gigawatts. Australia has about 24 GW of coal power which we’re paying a trillion dollars to close, and China is building our entire national supply every 4 months.

I have the science answers, but no one is interested. (I put that there for posterity.)

The Machine That Decides What You Know

The Machine That Decides What You Know. By Robert Malone.

AI is rapidly becoming the gatekeeper to the world’s information. Increasingly, people will not search through ten websites and decide for themselves what they believe. They will ask a machine a question and receive an answer. That makes the rules governing those machines enormously important. …

Behind the increasingly urgent campaign to regulate AI is a surprisingly small and interconnected world of billionaires, foundations, nonprofits, researchers, policy organizations and technology companies. Many are connected through a movement most Americans have never heard of: Effective Altruism. Its money helped build the field of AI safety. Its institutions helped define the threat. Its researchers and policy organizations are helping define the solutions. And one of the world’s most powerful AI companies, Anthropic, emerged from this same intellectual ecosystem while spending tens of millions of dollars to influence the rules under which it and its competitors will operate.

Now Barack Obama wants Democrats to make AI regulation a major political priority.

That is where this story stops being about obscure arguments among computer scientists. The people who write the rules for artificial intelligence may ultimately help determine what the machine is allowed to tell you. …

How money builds a consensus (exactly what was done with the carbon dioxide theory of global warming):

Ideas require money before they acquire institutions, experts and political power. EA had plenty of it. …

But look at what the money actually buys. It doesn’t simply fund research. It builds a field.

Fund the researchers who define the threat. Fund the university centers that study it. Fund the organizations that evaluate the machines. Fund the fellowships that train the next generation of experts. Fund the policy shops that turn the research into proposed regulation. Fund journalism programs that explain the threat to the public. Then move those trained people into technology companies, think tanks, lobbying organizations, and government. …

None of this requires a conspiracy. That is what makes the structure more interesting. People can sincerely believe the same thing while being funded, trained, employed and credentialed inside institutions built around that belief. Eventually the institutions begin citing one another. The researchers become the experts. The experts advise government. And what began as a philosophical argument starts looking like an independent scientific consensus. And the public is told that they need to trust “the experts”, that science is dictating policy. In reality, it is money that is dictating the policy.

Here’s a quick review of the current AI landscape I found helpful to can keep up with the conversation, excerpted from a conversation with ChatGPT.

A frontier AI model is one of the most capable general-purpose AI models at the current performance frontier — especially models competitive in reasoning, coding, science, multimodal work and autonomous/agentic tasks. There isn’t an official membership list, and it changes quickly.

 

Company Model Ownership
OpenAI GPT family OpenAI is privately held. Outside investors include Microsoft.
Anthropic Claude family Anthropic is privately held. Major investors/partners include Amazon and Google.
Google DeepMind Gemini Alphabet (Google)
SpaceXAI / xAI Grok Musk-controlled SpaceXAI.
Meta Llama Meta Platforms, the listed company controlled through Mark Zuckerberg’s high-vote shares
Mistral AI Mistral Privately held French company Mistral AI

 

A useful way of thinking about the landscape is that there are really only about four unequivocal giant frontier labs in the US at present:

OpenAI — Anthropic — Google DeepMind — xAI/SpaceXAI

with Meta somewhat different because its strategy emphasizes open-weight models, and Mistral a smaller European competitor.

There are also Chinese frontier labs that deserve to be included if you’re asking globally rather than just about the US/European ecosystem — notably DeepSeek, Alibaba/Qwen, Zhipu AI/GLM, ByteDance/Doubao, and others. Their strongest models can be competitive with the Western frontier on at least some benchmarks. DeepSeek is the big Chinese disruptive entrant: very capable reasoning/coding models with unusually aggressive cost efficiency.

hat-tip Scott of the Pacific

The English upper class have failed us

The English upper class have failed us. By Mary Harrington in UnHerd.

Charles’s and Diana’s institution-building and moral-reform instincts went in search of a canvas at sufficient scale. Alas: they found themselves reborn as warring emotional camps, in an America-led, globalised 24-hour TV entertainment cycle. In this frenzied setting, a sensibility that once ruled the world degraded into an ugly divorce battle, between “duty” in Charles’s sense of subsuming your feelings for the greater good, and Diana’s of pursuing personal truth, no matter what the cost.

Diana’s personal truths:

This resonated more widely than just the Windsors, because the battle was also raging throughout our erstwhile imperial class. Long before Diana died, her combination of idealism and selfishness was a sufficiently common cultural hangover of the Sixties to have been vividly satirised in the Nineties sitcom Absolutely Fabulous.

 

 

The show’s two central characters, Patsy and Eddie, capture the hedonism and sentimental, self-righteous attitude this produced — while casting a sharp eye at Britain’s fraying upper class. Only Patsy is genuinely “posh”, but she also has no money: she lives a parasitic life in nouveau riche Eddie’s house, where she guzzles Eddie’s champagne, makes use of her chauffeur, and bullies her staid daughter, while weeping crocodile tears whenever challenged.

The year after Ab Fab stopped broadcasting, Diana’s sudden death declared her self-involved version of “duty” the winner in the media battle, as it were by martyrdom and canonisation. As Tony Blair solemnly declared at the time, she was the “People’s Princess”. From there on in, the Patsy and Eddie version of “authenticity” was to be the new normal for Modern Britain. …

Watching Earl Spencer justify his latest salvos against King Charles to Laura Kuenssberg, I don’t doubt his assertion that if he really wanted to spill the tea, there are spicier truth-bombs he could drop. But clearly he doesn’t just want to screw King Charles. … Like Patsy and Eddie, he wants to destroy his enemies and not be made to feel guilty and still have everyone agree that he’s a really nice person.

Charles put the greater good before his feelings:

What of the other side, meanwhile? If Britain’s posho moral-reform instincts have long since resiled into wokeness, philandering, and crybully emotional terrorism, the proponents of emotionally detached team spirit are just as gravely adrift. …

Here, for example, we find hereditary products of Britain’s erstwhile imperial class such as Boris Johnson, opening Britain’s borders to the “Boriswave”. We find Jacob Rees-Mogg enjoining British plebs (presumably excluding himself) to “do their duty” and enlist to defend their nation, even as those plebs witness government after government refusing to defend Britain’s own coastline because of “international law”. And, indeed, we find the recent, cold-blooded assertion by Rory Stewart that the mass rape of British girls by Pakistani-heritage clan mafia networks is a trivial issue compared to real problems, such as the future of AI governance….

“It’s not our fault”:

These two poles represent, between them, the spread of ways a decadent upper class can absolve itself of responsibility.

On the one side, by resiling into Patsy and Eddie emotivism, and saying, of anything inconvenient or guilt-inducing: “It wasn’t my fault because I’m nice and a victim.”

On the other, by fixating on “the future of mankind” rather than of a particular people, and offloading responsibility to assorted forms of technocracy, from institutions, to international laws …

The failure of the English ruling class:

A fish rots from the head down. Ordinary Brits are still demonstrably capable of self-organising in a crisis, for the common good, at a pragmatic scale. If our country is in a bad way, ultimate responsibility lies with our leadership class, which long since committed itself to a general stance of “it’s not my fault”, or “we need to make things even more neutral”.

Whether the supposed culprit is personal trauma, institutional racism, Donald Trump, International Law, or AI Swarm Gods, we’re stuck with this ghastly tranche of wet-eyed cry-bullies and cold-blooded universalists, none of whom shows the slightest interest in the one thing they’re supposed to do: lead and serve, in the interests of their own nation. …

It’s not really possible to do without an elite. But we really could do without one whose sole unifying refrain is “It’s not my fault”.

hat-tip Stephen Neil

Archbishop of Canterbury presents award to modern Muslim Islamist

Archbishop of Canterbury presents award to modern Muslim Islamist. By Pete Smith in Quadrant.

AI assures me, because I couldn’t believe it, that this is a real photograph taken at Lambeth Palace. It captures the Most Reverend Sarah Mullally presenting the Hubert Walter Award for Reconciliation and Interfaith Cooperation to Pakistani cleric Hafiz Muhammad Tahir Mehmood Ashrafi.

Lest you mistake her for a pillar of coal, the encased figure standing between the Archbishop and the cleric in the pictures is the wife. Of what number I know not. …

The Muslim cleric pictured is a strong supporter of Pakistan’s blasphemy laws and the death penalty that accompanies them. And he has opined that the Iran war is all about Jews and Christians targeting Iran’s nuclear power. He was also a fanboy of Osama Bin Laden. What a very model of a modern Muslim Islamist. …

The award was presented on September 11 (9/11). Yes, it is unbelievable.

Presumably, and thankfully, once a rudimentary Googling had been done on the character of the cleric, the Archbishop saw the light and withdrew the award on September 17.

What a complete fiasco from the Church of England … Mind you, Pope Paul II got into the act early by kissing the Quran in 1999. It is all mightily unbelievable. How about a grand mufti kissing the Bible? Show me that and I’ll show you a dead mufti.

Notice that the award seems to be hanging around the neck of the aforementioned wife. I imagine that the Muslim cleric would not allow himself to be soiled by wearing a Christian decoration, particularly bestowed by a mere woman. And touching hands would have been verboten absolutely. … So put that in your pipe and smoke it, feminists for Palestine.

Well said.

hat-tip Stephen Neil

Deficits for the next 40 years — Australian Government

Deficits for the next 40 years — Australian Government. By Matthew Cranston in The Australian.

Jim Chalmers has assured Australians that personal income tax cuts are still part of his economic plans, despite revelations the country faces 40 years of budget deficits, ballooning debt, and an economy that will remain largely reliant on migration. …

Awesome job, Jim.

His second Intergenerational Report … pushes migration and multiculturalism as key drivers of economic growth through to 2066, and puts artificial intelligence at the centre of future productivity strategies

Reality will be even worse:

Economists and industry bodies warned the report relied upon unrealistically rosy assumptions of productivity and fiscal discipline.

Now it’s AI that is going to make us rich? After broadband (NBN), net zero, renewable power, and green hydrogen all failed? All our competitors will also adopt AI, many faster than us, so our relative position will slip.

The Best and Shortest Economics Lesson

The Best and Shortest Economics Lesson. By Handre.

1.Humans act. Every choice a person makes traces back to an incentive, a trade-off, a cost weighed against a benefit. Remove the incentive and the action stops. Distort the incentive and the action warps.

Tax income at 90% and watch producers stop producing. Subsidize failure and watch failure multiply. The behavior follows the reward structure, always.

2.Value exists only in the mind of the person choosing. A glass of water is worth nothing to a drowning man and everything to a man dying of thirst. No central authority can calculate this, because it changes with every individual and every circumstance.

Nothing has value in itself, only the degree to which humans choose to value it. Diamonds and even gold only carry value because humans decided they do.

3. Money does not come from a government decree. It emerged spontaneously when traders needed something durable, divisible, and widely accepted to escape the limitations of direct barter. Gold won that competition across centuries and across dozens of independent civilizations because the market, not a ministry, chose it.

Fiat currency is the state hijacking that evolved institution and replacing it with paper backed by nothing but a legal threat. Every central bank on earth operates on this model right now.

4. Wealth does not fall from the sky. A farmer who eats his entire harvest produces nothing next season. The farmer who saves seed, plants it, and specializes in what he grows best accumulates a surplus. That surplus is capital. Capital funds everything that comes after.

Consumption without prior production is just burning down the furniture for warmth. Every welfare state eventually reaches this point.

5. Strip private property rights and production collapses. A farmer will work his own land until midnight. That same farmer, working collective land, stops at noon. The Soviet Union ran this experiment across seventy years and killed tens of millions, proving the point.

When you cannot own the outcome, you do not produce the outcome.

6. Voluntary trade generates wealth from nothing but mutual preference. When you pay twelve dollars for a meal, you value the meal above twelve dollars; the restaurant values twelve dollars above the meal. Both parties walk away wealthier in real terms. No politician, no regulator, no bureaucrat added anything.

Protectionism destroys this. The 2018 US steel tariffs raised steel prices for American manufacturers, killed more jobs in steel-consuming industries than existed in steel production itself, and transferred wealth from productive firms to a protected few. …

7. Inflation is a tax. Every dollar the Federal Reserve creates without corresponding production dilutes every dollar you already hold. The new money flows first to the government and its contractors, who spend it at current prices. By the time it reaches you, prices have already risen.

The US M2 money supply grew from roughly 15 trillion dollars in January 2020 to over 21 trillion by early 2022. Consumer prices followed. Your savings took the loss.

8. Prices carry information. A price spike tells producers to produce more and tells consumers to use less. It coordinates millions of strangers without a single central command. Interfere with that signal and the coordination breaks.

Rent control in New York City is the cleanest example. Cap rents below market and landlords stop maintaining buildings, stop building new ones, and convert units to other uses. The people rent control was supposed to help pay the price through collapsing supply.

9. Interest rates are the price of capital over time. When the Federal Reserve pushed rates to near zero between 2008 and 2022, it told every investor that capital was nearly free. Businesses built projects that only made sense at zero percent. When rates normalized, the projects failed. The 2022 collapse of the US tech sector and the crypto market were not random events. They were the correction of a decade of artificially cheap capital.

The business cycle is not a mystery of capitalism. Central banks manufacture it.

10. Bureaucrats face no profit and loss. A businessman who misallocates capital goes bankrupt. A bureaucrat who misallocates capital writes a report requesting more funding. The feedback loop that disciplines markets simply does not exist inside a government agency.

The US Department of Education has spent over a trillion dollars since 1980. Literacy rates have not improved. No one at the department has been bankrupted by this outcome.

11. Every producer inside a local market holds knowledge that no bureaucrat in a capital city can replicate. A wheat farmer in Kansas tracks soil moisture, futures prices, local equipment costs, his specific buyer relationships, and a hundred other variables simultaneously. That knowledge lives in the price he sets.

Friedrich Hayek called this tacit knowledge in 1945. The Soviet central planners ignored him and spent fifty years proving him correct, producing chronic shortages of goods that private markets coordinate effortlessly. No model, no algorithm, and no committee can compress what millions of independent actors know into a single plan.

12. Every government intervention produces effects you see and effects you don’t. You see the road the state builds. You don’t see the factory the tax dollars never funded, the job that never existed, the innovation that never happened because capital was extracted at gunpoint and redirected by bureaucrats with no skin in the game.

Take the 2009 Cash for Clunkers program. Congress destroyed 690,000 working cars, handed dealers a short-term spike, and you saw the sales numbers. The used car market was stripped of affordable inventory, pricing working-class buyers out for years afterward.

13. Prices, supply chains, and language itself coordinate millions of strangers without any central planner issuing a single command. That coordination is spontaneous order: complex, functional patterns that emerge from individuals pursuing their own goals under rules they did not collectively design. No committee holds the dispersed local knowledge required to replicate what voluntary exchange produces every second.

Watch how English evolved. No king designed its grammar. Millions of speakers across centuries adopted words and structures that worked, dropped ones that didn’t, and produced a language richer than any bureaucrat could have engineered. Central planners who believe they can replicate that process with price controls or production quotas destroy the feedback mechanism that generates the order in the first place.

The above is Austrian economics, which has been out of favor with governments and banks for nearly a century now.

Instead, today we have Keynesianism, which is just an elaborate excuse for governments and banks to lower interest rates, thereby generating for themselves more spending power and income. Keynesianism is an ideology invented for the great depression of the 1930s, to stop more banks going bust (their assets were mainly bonds, and bond prices go higher when interest rates go lower).

The generation of economists before Keynes, the classical economists, thought Keynes was a crackpot. But government and banks only give plum economist jobs to followers of Keynes, which filters the profession, first at universities and then everywhere. By 1970 nearly all economists were Keynesians.

So, here we are in the 2020s, with the world awash in debt, but no longer able to keep interest rates artificially low without inflation taking off. Interest rates cannot be raised now, because everyone would go bust. Japan must spend 100% of its tax income on interest payments if rates get to 7%, the US at 14%. In 1980, it took 20% interest rates to halt inflation. How many people on mortgages can afford the 18% interest rates of Australia in 1989?

In all of human history, the average lifetime of a fiat currency is about two generations (~50 years). Our current money technically began in 1971, when the last link to something real was cut. So, we’re about on the usual schedule.