Young white men were the swing demographic, switching back to Democrats because Trump did little to ease their persecution. By John Carter.
The usual uniparty cycle:
The new party assumes office, commences gorging on the corruption machine, fritters away its time and political capital on trivial nonsense, and steadfastly refuses to take action on even the most popular 80/20 issues.
The outgoing Republican House and Senate are a case in point. They outright refused to pass the overwhelmingly popular SAVE Act [which would require voting in person with ID, eliminating most online and mail-in voter registration], for instance. I don’t think they passed any meaningful legislation at all over the last two years. They were very enthusiastic about bombing Iran, however.
What achievements?
Have Trump or the GOP made much difference in daily life? Trump’s done some good things over the last two years. Gutting USAID, clearing out hundreds of thousands of federal bureaucrats, closing the border, deporting a million or so illegals and motivating the self-deportation of a couple million more. There’s been a chilling effect on DEI, the so-called ‘vibe shift’, which in practice has mostly meant that large institutions are pretending not to do DEI anymore. All of that’s been great, but it’s been like one percent of what’s actually required.
Deporting a few million people is a drop in the bucket compared to the many tens of millions in the country illegally. Getting woketards to turn down the volume on woke was a nice reprieve, but they remain in control of every institution that isn’t the executive branch of the US government, and they’ve carried right on refusing to hire young white men. …
Never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity:
When Charlie Kirk was assassinated by a trantifa terrorist, a wave of rage washed through the country, not only at his death but in revulsion at the glee with which the left greeted it. Trump’s administration had every excuse it needed to bring down the hammer. It started well enough, with Antifa being declared an international terrorist group. And then, nothing. …
There was every excuse to go after the NGOs and foundations that fund Antifa and Antifa-adjacent groups, bring the hammer down on universities that provide them with a safe place to operate, and put serious pressure on foreign governments (Canada, for instance) which provide funding for Antifa-adjacent left-wing ‘research organizations’. Instead we got Candace Owens wittering on about how it was really all a Mossad plot or something. The result of all this lack of serious action was that the left felt quite comfortable celebrating the Kirkaversary.
One young Brazilian woman went so far as to recite a vicious little death threat in the form of ‘Night Before Kirksmas’ doggerel to a Turning Point USA representative, who for some unfathomable reason was on campus still doing the Debate Me Bro routine a year after the Debate Bro got shot in the neck for debating. There’s some talk that she and her family might get deported, but, call me cynical, I wouldn’t count on that.
Young white men got more of the same:
Friends have been sounding the alarm for several months now over Trump’s refusal to do anything to ameliorate the plight of young white men in America. They’ve languished under woke for a decade, now. It has absolutely hammered them economically. Six years of that decade have been under Trump, by the way. He didn’t do anything about it during his first term, and during his second what little he did do was mostly performative, things like castigating the universities for not following meritocratic admissions policies and allowing anti-semitism on campus.
He tried to freeze research funding to Harvard and a few other universities, sure, but that got blocked in the courts. They got their money and ignored the Supreme Court’s ruling against affirmative action, carrying right on with discriminatory admissions as though nothing had happened.
In the private sector the toxic confluence of HR girlbossery and AI filtering at the recruitment level, along with an entrenched preference for H1B over American labour within the tech sector, has made it basically impossible for anyone to get a job, but particularly impossible for young white men. There was a study recently which found that something like 98% of new jobs had gone to women, or maybe women and foreigners; either way, young white men have been left out in the cold.
Young white men were Trump’s strongest soldiers:
This matters, because the young white men were Trump’s strongest soldiers. In the last election they swung harder for Trump than any other demographic.
Much more importantly, they’re the political radicals who push the envelope, make the memes, record the podcasts, write the blogs, and conspire together in secret group chats.
They went to war for him in three elections in a row … Many of them sacrificed careers to do that. The social and therefore professional consequences of being a MAGAt, a Trumptard, a member of the Trump Jugend, can be crippling. Nevertheless they were the ones pushing the envelope, hammering away at the Overton window to widen the permissible boundaries of discourse. And they succeeded. You can say things in public now that would have been absolutely verboten just a few years ago. …
No thanks, no relief, no help:
What is of course genuinely, deeply, epochally, unfathomably retarded is that the reward bestowed upon young white men for their successful decade of service has been … nothing.
Nothing at all. No patronage jobs. No grants. No lawfare against the universities refusing to let them in the door, no sanctions against the corporations using H1Bs to replace American tech workers, no ICE raids against blue collar employers undercutting American citizens with illegals, no serious effort to reduce the cost of housing …
So, say goodbye to the Republicans:
So, this election, apparently, the young white men swung by 40 points, from something like +30 for Trump to +10 for the Democrats. …
The young men are embittered and furious. I don’t know how much of that swing is in actual political alignment and how much of it was just the zoomerwaffen saying nah, fuck it, Imma stay home and play Age of Empires tonight, but there’s more than a whiff of what happened with the Bernie Bros in 2016. The Dem establishment shat on them, so they defected to Trump, bringing all of that energy to MAGA….
Antisemitism among young white men is mostly just a character test to make sure you are against the establishment:
Trump took the enormous heap of political capital he’d accumulated and squandered it on another war that no one but Israel and its domestic American Ziocons wanted. You could feel the wind coming out of the sails as the first missiles struck Tehran.
It’s hardly a secret that young right-wing men harbour an intense dislike for the Israel lobby. They’re generally pretty open about that. Cuckservatives like Rod Dreher have been wringing their hands about ‘antisemitism’ amongst the ‘groypers’ for several months now. In their world there is nothing worse than making Jews sad, no, not even losing your country, not even the reduction of your people to servitude, the extinction of your very civilization, and the onset of a long Stygian darkness. …
Performative ‘anti-semitism’ serves the same cultural function as performative racism, performative misogyny, performative homophobia. It’s a shibboleth. Young white men in the Western world have been systematically emotionally abused for their entire lives by a culture that holds white men to be presumptively evil. …
They go looking for frens. Ah, but who is a fren? How do you know who you can trust? Much as you can distinguish a clanker from a real human being by asking it to write a slur, signalling that you can laugh at racism and so on is a way of telling others that you don’t hold those things sacred which your oppressors revere, and in whose name they abuse you. Those who can blaspheme against the civic religion are apostates to the civic religion, and therefore potentially trustworthy. The actual vitriol is quite limited. Half the time the kid making gas chamber jokes is a mischling. …
For Jews, the anti-Israeli turn amongst American youth, and youth across the West, is doubtless nerve-wracking. The young right has become deeply suspicious of and reflexively hostile towards Israeli influence in their domestic politics, again I think primarily out of frustration over foreign influence generally rather than any genuine hatred for Jews specifically….
My sense is that a fair number of young white men, correctly understanding that their boomer elders will never stand up to Israel, have instead made common cause with left-wing anti-Zionists, and for the record I think this is a gigantic mistake. …
Quite different to the Left’s antisemitism:
Leftist youth have turned on Israel ferociously in the aftermath of the 10/7 attacks and, in particular, Israel’s savage response to those attacks. …
The left doesn’t care about foreign influence per se, the left after all essentially is foreign influence, the left’s entire raison d’etre at this point is foreign influence-maxxing to the point that foreign influence is the only influence. It’s just that the left wants foreign influence to be exclusively third world.
For the left, Israel is hateful not because it interferes with America’s domestic politics, but because it is a white settler-colonial state engaged in genocide against an innocent population of brown people, while they see Jews as just a variety of white people who anomalously and very annoyingly retain sufficient privilege to keep them at the top of the progressive stack, where no white person should be.
Attacking Israel is a way of assaulting the last bastion of white privilege. It’s a proxy for attacking Western civilization as a whole, which is why the Palestinian flag has become the battle banner of the third world horde intent on razing the West to the ground. …
The uniparty establishment in the GOP threw the election to wrest back their party from Trump:
It looked like the GOP was angling to intentionally throw the midterms. A resounding defeat could be used to blame MAGA for alienating the voters — too hateful, too aggressive, too ugly …
Armed with that narrative, the old guard of Ziocuck neocons, chamber of commerce grifters, and sanctimoniously longhoused evangelitards could purge the radical youth element and thus shore up their own comfortable positions. Better to rule a defeated party than to be sidelined at the victory party.
Everything that’s happened since has been consistent with that. The Republicans ran a lazy campaign, ground game was weak, and some of their picks were absolutely shocking. What were they thinking putting forth Vivek Ramascammy for Ohio governor? Vivek’s Christmas crashout during the H1B War demonstrated that he had the political instincts of a dodo bird, and a grasp of American cultural norms on the level of a sacred cow’s understanding of multivariable calculus. Surprising absolutely no one, and one of the few silver linings of the midterms, Vivek lost resoundingly to Jane Normalson. Ohio, along with a majority of other states, now has a Democrat governor. …
Texas’s white population share plummeted from 58% to 46% in just a few years, a precipitous demographic decline that puts even Canada’s headlong dive into the abyss to shame. Indians, of course, like every other group of non-whites, vote overwhelmingly for the left. In their eagerness to look ‘not racist’, and their craven appeasement of business interests hungry for cheap labour, Republican traitors have turned Texas into a California with worse weather, uglier cities, and fatter women. But hey you’ve still got the Constitution, right. टेक्सास से पंगा मत लो! …
Now that the Suicide Party have successfully thrown the midterms, the establishment narrative will almost certainly be that this was the fault of Trump and MAGA, and they will use this to attempt to purge Trump’s influence from the Republican mainstream while tacking back towards the Democrat-defined centre. …
Socialism and the polarization caused by mass immigration:
For the Democrats, on the other hand, the DSA will now be able to credibly claim that the midterms demonstrate that the people want full communism. …
America First is immensely polarizing: white men love it, married white women like it, but single white women and non-whites despise it passionately.
Non-whites genuinely do prefer socialism. The norms of liberty that Americans still delude themselves that their country embodies are simply baffling to brown people. ‘Freedom’ in the way white people understand it is a very culturally specific Anglo thing, all but unique to the ‘WEIRDest people in the world’. …
On the DSA side, full communism is as hateful to white Americans as MAGA is to non-whites. In the afterglow of victory the DSA probably won’t meet much resistance from the Democratic Party, and they and their supporters will therefore feel license to go full blast with Woke 2.0, which will generate enormous societal friction and thus erode their remaining cultural hold over the white populace even more quickly. That would be a very stupid thing for them to do, but they tend to be very stupid people. …
JD Vance tweeted:
Another pollster — one of the smartest people I know in politics — … saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
- End the war
- Focus on cost of living/inflation
- Put America First
- Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. …
The reason we lost is the war …
John Carter’s advice for JD Vance:
- Spend the next two years doing everything in [your] power to materially improve the conditions of young men.
- Recruit the energetic and talented into patronage positions, into the civil service, into the security services, and make sure this is visible.
- Raid employers using illegals, in order to put pressure on them to hire young Americans.
- Deport millions, if not tens of millions of illegals in order to put upwards pressure on wages and downwards pressure on housing prices.
- Forbid large tech companies from employing H1Bs, and force them to hire American engineers at good salaries.
- Openly call out the universities not just for vague ‘discrimination’, but specifically for discriminating against white boys, and then force them to stop doing that.
- Set up training and apprenticeship programs, modelled on the Palantir fellowships, to help talented white youth skip university entirely and go straight from high school into lucrative, high-status careers; work with Elon Musk and Palmer Lucky on that, to implement similar programs at Tesla, SpaceX, and Anduril.
I don’t think promises or intentions or whatever will cut it anymore. There’s been too much betrayal already. They need to see actual results.
