I was on team big-government

I was on team big-government. By Claire Lehmann in The Australian.

I come from a Labor family. … However, like many people from lower-middle or working-class backgrounds, I drifted away from the left as I grew older, with various life experiences shaping my views. The experience that most influenced that drift was working inside the Australian Public Service.

At 25, after graduating from university, I moved to Canberra to work for the federal Department of Health. What I encountered there changed the way I think about the role of government, permanently.

The Department of Health is situated in a gigantic office building in Woden [an area of Canberra]. In every team I worked in, the pattern was the same: one or two people carried the load for a team of six to eight.

The rest ranged from disengaged to functionally incapable. In one team, I sat next to a woman who spent her entire working day researching property online. She could not conduct a basic web search for work purposes. She could not file documents alphabetically. She had been in her role for years, on a salary of $65,000. She could not be fired.

Having spent a decade working in cafes and restaurants from age 14 to 24, encountering this felt like a slap in the face. Were blue-collar workers busting themselves for a wage while desk workers lounged about doing personal research projects? Apparently in Canberra, the answer was yes.

Of course, this does not apply to every federal public servant. But what I witnessed in my one year inside the department was not unusual. One deputy secretary I worked under complained to me that “the federal government just throws money down the toilet”.

We had flextime. We had morning teas almost every day. And still the union representatives lobbied for better conditions – conditions that could not possibly have been more generous. A friend of mine, given so little work that she had nothing to do, would cry in the toilets out of despair.

I quit after just one year, ashamed of abusing the taxpayer. But that was 15 years ago. Since then, the problem has got only worse.

Under the Albanese government, the APS [Australian Public Service, i.e. the bureaucrats] has grown by 26 per cent since 2022. The cost of running it has blown out by 42 per cent to $114.6bn: roughly $8200 for every Australian taxpayer, every single year. Budget papers show the cost of running the bureaucracy has been revised up by $19.6bn across the next four years. The explosion of cost in the public sector will eat up more than half the savings the government expects to make from cutting the National Disability Insurance Scheme. And for what? To feed a public service that the government has lost the ability to control.

Government spending sits at 26.8 per cent of GDP, the highest level since 1986 outside the pandemic. This is the monster that Jim Chalmers’ budget refuses to name. And because he cannot face it, the 2026 budget has been shaped around it – designed not to tame the beast but to find new ways to feed it. Our tax policy is effectively being redrawn to support the growth of the public service, without politicians ever taking that choice to the public for a mandate. …

The inequity that exists today is straightforward: every productive worker in the economy is subsidising a public service that cannot be made to perform, cannot be made to shrink and cannot be held accountable. The only reason there is not more outrage is that most Australians have no idea how much it is costing them. …

The fault line is no longer between labour and capital but between private and public sectors; those who produce and those who administer those who produce

Much of the left has simply become a party of patronage. Join the team, barrack for every lefty cause, and you will probably be rewarded with a cushy job on tax money — either in the public service, as a contractor to the government, or at an NGO. But you have to be a loyal team member to get the money.

It’s a moral thing. People in the real (private) economy are paid because people voluntarily pay them for their goods or services. People on the government team get paid out of taxes, which are compulsory, backed by force (imprisonment).

Trust the government-funded scientists

Trust the government-funded scientists. The bureaucrats only fund those scientists who give the answers they want. Maze:

2016. Guy McPherson (a climate change expert, scientist, and professor from the University of Arizona) says that there will not be any humans on the planet by 2026 due to the effects of climate change.

 

So many wrong predictions. But the money has been made and the globalist politicians used it to get into power, so it’s ok to start turning down the alarm:

 

England’s anti-globalist uprising

England’s anti-globalist uprising. By Eric Daugherty.

Islamists and leftists are FURIOUS after Tommy Robinson gave the perfect answer:

Q: What would happen if you become a prime minister tomorrow?

ROBINSON: “I would STOP Islam, I’d END foreign funding in this country. All the migrants would be taken out the hotels and sent back tomorrow by the military!”

Holy based!

“I would have re-migration. It’s time for many Muslims to leave this country. You’ve got your homes to go to. This is our home. We’ve got nowhere to go to!”

“We’re not allowing it to change any longer. You’ve seen today, people have fed up then. People are FED UP!” 🔥

This is the way, western man!

The globalist-patriot divide is clearly international at this stage. Western politics now has two international teams slugging it out (by JJ):

At the Unite The Kingdom rally in London, Tommy Robinson flashed photos of globalist leaders on the big screen and the massive crowd erupted in BOOS!

Emmanuel Macron, Ursula von der Leyen, Friedrich Merz, Mark Carney, Anthony Albanese, and Keir Starmer… the ENTIRE crowd roared in disapproval.

Then he put up a photo of President Trump and the energy flipped instantly!

The sea of patriots chanted Trump before exploding into the legendary USA! USA! USA! chant.

Even John Cleese now gets it:

I read everywhere about the ‘hard right’

This the term used to describe people who are Islamosceptic — that is, people who are doubtful about the merits of a religion that demands child marriage, the beating of women, and death to all who oppose it

Perhaps ‘sensible right’ would be a better description

High-spending Labor Government is really into investment properties

High-spending Labor Government is really into investment properties. By Rowan Dean in The Spectator.

The truth is the government is spending like a drunken sailor on everything, from rorting NDIS suppliers to the billionaire renewables grifters who are decimating the countryside and driving up our electricity bills.

Worse, as Robert Gottliebsen revealed in The Australian, and I quote: ‘The 2026 Budget shocked the nation with its $1 trillion debt forecasts. But it also concealed a second trillion dollars of government liability. The missing trillion in the budget is Australia’s greatest government financial concealment scandal…’ Which, as Gottliebsen explains, is the insane cost, much of it driven by the unions, Snowy 2.0, and all the ongoing renewables contracts.

The bottom line is…

The government has lost control of our money and so has decided it is way easier to just raise taxes. In essence, Labor is lying to cover its own recklessness and poor management and then thieving from property investors to cover its own economic and ideological stupidity. …

Most members of the Labor Cabinet have more than two investment properties:

According to the Australian:

At least 20 out of 23 members in the Labor Cabinet have declared they own more than two properties and will still be able to offset rental losses against their six-­figure parliamentary incomes…’

Albanese, of course, has his infamous Copacabana beach house among other property investments. The article goes on.

‘Nearly 75 per cent of Albanese’s ministry of 41 MPs and Senators own more than one property, increasing the likelihood that they negatively gear their investments. Tony Burke owns the most properties in the Labor ministry with six properties under his belt, according to the latest Register of Interests, where parliamentarians are required to declare their real estate, shareholdings, and assets.’

Albanese’s own property portfolio is said to be being negatively geared while he lives rent-free at the Lodge and on the shores of Sydney Harbour at Kirribilli.

This is a government replete with grifters, liars, and hypocrites. …

Stopped learning at age 21:

The mask has well and truly slipped, and we now know this is a government of hard left socialists who have never escaped the mental confines of their hard left undergraduate and union backgrounds. They are fighting the class wars of the past. They don’t only hate Tories, they hate all the conservative values of aspiration, opportunity and individual success and enterprise.

As of now, only the most gullible and naive of Australians would believe that this government will not be introducing death taxes and taxing the family home in line with basic modern left-wing ideology.

All so predictable. The unpredictable part was that it took five years and over a million new immigrants before they dared move on tax.

Dueling rallies in London, Starmer about to resign

Dueling rallies in London, Starmer about to resign.

John Hinderaker at Powerline:

There was another Unite the Kingdom demonstration today. These events were organized in part by Tommy Robinson, and, although entirely peaceful, they are viewed as anathema by the British establishment.

Thus, Prime Minister Keir Starmer denounced this year’s rally as “peddling hatred and division,” saying “we’re in the fight for the soul of this country.” Hatred apparently meaning love for one’s country, and the soul of the U.K. apparently consisting exclusively in importing millions of unassimilable third-world immigrants.

Out of a faux concern for safety, Britain’s Home Office banned 11 “far-right agitators” from entering the country to participate in today’s demonstration. One of them is Dutch activist Eva Vlaardingerbroek. …

 

 

Robinson was impeccably moderate, urging the crowd to vote and become involved in politics.

There was a second demonstration in London today, by anti-Semitic Muslims. France 24 described the dueling demonstrations in the terms universally used by the European establishment: “Thousands march in London for far-right, pro-Palestine protests.” It would be more accurate to say that the two groups were the normals and the demented jihadists. Prime Minister Starmer did not describe the genocidal anti-Semites as “peddling hatred and division” or, in any respect, threatening “the soul of this country.” They evidently are A-OK. …

The “pro-Palestinian” marchers chanted, about Tommy Robinson, “Shoot him in the neck like Charlie Kirk!” As far as I have seen, Keir Starmer and his ministers, the BBC and the British newspapers, have no comment. For whatever reason, they are on the anti-British side.

Was anyone charged with hate speech?

Daily Mail (Dan Hodges):

Keir Starmer has told close friends he intends to stand down as Prime Minister and set out an orderly timetable for his departure.

A member of the Cabinet told me late yesterday afternoon: ‘Keir understands the political reality. He realises the current chaos is unsustainable. He simply wants to be able to do it in a dignified way and in a manner of his own choosing. He will set out a timetable.’

Tommy Robinson:

Everyone who turned up today and behaved impeccably ended this tyrant . Thank you.

Thomas Whitaker:

The UK just deployed a political weapon it’s only used once before in modern history. And nobody is talking about what it just backfired into.

The Home Office issued entry bans on 11 foreign nationals ahead of the 16 May ‘Unite the Kingdom’ rally in central London. Rebel News founder Ezra Levant. Multiple journalists. Commentators. Banned from the country. To stop a march.

Metropolitan Police deployed 4,000+ officers. Live facial recognition. Drones. Dogs. Horses….

The Prime Minister publicly labeled the rally “extremist” and “hatred and division”. Starmer framed it as “a battle for the soul of our nation” in direct pre-rally statements. Police mobilized at a scale typically reserved for state visits or terror threats. Live facial recognition deployed across central London. …

The result: tens of thousands — some estimates reaching hundreds of thousands — flooding the streets of London anyway. …

Reform just proved it can win elections. The march proved it can also fill streets.

Starmer called it “a battle for the soul of our nation” — and then lost the visual battle on live television.

This isn’t a fringe moment. This is what a political realignment looks like in the streets.

Labour: enemies of the people

Labour: enemies of the people. By Tim Black at spiked.

Less than two years on from its landslide General Election victory, Labour is in crisis. It now regularly polls below 20 per cent, about 10 percentage points behind Reform UK. Labour leader Keir Starmer is, according to surveys, the most unpopular prime minister on record. …

The uprising:

The widespread loathing of Labour is already playing out electorally. It suffered devastating local-election defeats last year and again earlier this month, losing thousands of local councillors across England. …

The signs of Labour’s morbidity are everywhere. Football fans regularly fill the stadium air with chants alerting us to Starmer’s alleged onanism. Farmers have flooded the streets in protest against chancellor Rachel Reeves’ livelihood-destroying tax raid. And in towns and cities around the nation, anger and frustration over a broken, dangerous asylum system have frequently boiled over.

The delusional ruling class:

Labourites and their legion of media sympathisers are nothing if not delusional, however. They seem to think that the party’s problems boil down to the man at the top: Keir Starmer. Get rid of Starmer, the adenoidal robot, and replace him with someone possessing better ‘communication skills’ and, ideally, a pulse, then hey presto, Labour can reverse its fortunes. ‘The government can get on with delivering the delivery it promised to deliver’, say the Labourites ad infinitum.

But Labour’s crisis is not what its MPs, members and supporters think it is. This is a crisis not of leadership, but of the party as a whole. It doesn’t matter if its members shuffle the ministerial deck, swapping in Angela Rayner, Wes Streeting or Andy Burnham for the wretched Starmer. It doesn’t matter if one or another of these products of the Labour machine tacks ‘left’ or ‘right’.

Because this party is done. It is no longer capable, ideologically or organisationally, of speaking for vast swathes of Britain. It is a party whose disdain for the views, values and demands of the nation’s working-class heartlands runs through it like Brighton through a stick of rock. Indeed, it is a party that, having aggressively and stubbornly swum against the populist tide since Brexit, is now slowly but surely being swept away by it.

It has been a long time coming.

The history is interesting:

It wasn’t until the 1990s, under the leadership of Tony Blair, that Labour’s estrangement from — and turn against — the working class began in earnest. …

[Tony Blair and his allies] … effectively grabbed hold of this husk of a party and repurposed it for what they saw as the new post-ideological age. Elements of Labour’s older class-based ideology were watered down or jettisoned….

 

Former PM Tony Blair, July 21 2007

The face of globalist Britain

 

In 1997, Labour chancellor Gordon Brown outsourced control of monetary policy to the Bank of England, within his first 100 hours of entering No11. These were significant moves. Class-based politics had always centred on a contest over the economy. Blair and his friends effectively removed the economy from political debate. ‘New Labour is neither old left nor new right’, announced Blair in 1995. ‘We understand and welcome the new global market.’ …

Labor went globalist under Tony Blair, the first in the world:

New Labour was ‘globalist’ before the word was widely recognised. It dreamed of a world reshaped by the unrelenting forces of globalisation, a world of vanishing borders, in which goods, services and people moved ever more freely. A technocratic political universe in which those who knew best, the experts and the NGOs, were allowed to get on with administering the globalising society ‘free from short-term political manipulation’, as Brown once put it. A global order in which nation states were increasingly subordinate to the superior wisdom of transnational institutions, be it the EU or the WTO.

New Labour elevated an expert class, a credentialled class, a professional-managerial class, and decommissioned the working class. It empowered transnational actors and lawmakers in the service of global causes, such as the fight against global warming, and disenfranchised British citizens.

Immigration to defeat or replace the deplorables:

In New Labour’s eyes, all this globalisation was synonymous with ‘progress’. And vice versa: opposition to it was seen as backward and reactionary. This, in part, explains why New Labour politicised and weaponised immigration in particular. It didn’t just welcome 2.5 million incomers into the UK in little over a decade for economic reasons. It also did so for culture-war reasons.

Immigration was the means through which New Labour could give real moralistic content to its project of modernising Britain. The means through which it could transform the country into a globally oriented territory, open for business. The means through which it could realise its ideals of ‘diversity’ and ‘multiculturalism’ in place of older notions of nationhood. As Andrew Neather, a former special adviser to an early New Labour immigration minister, revealed in 2009, the government of the time was privately talking up the ‘social impacts’ of immigration. He claimed ministers wanted ‘to rub the right’s nose in diversity’.

All in on Globalism:

Identity politics and greenism were relentlessly pushed by New Labour. But the core New Labour mission was to plunge Britain into the globalised order, modernise it, change it, bring it bang up to date. …

New Labour promoted ‘progress’ over custom, global institutions over national integrity, ‘expertise’ over democracy, and new cultural values like ‘diversity’ over the cultural anchors that had oriented communities’ ways of life for decades.

The New Labour worldview resonated with Britain’s business owners, affluent middle classes more broadly, and above all with an ever-growing graduate class. They enjoyed the mobility of ‘globalism’, the economic benefits of access to cheap overseas labour, and the warm, fuzzy moralism of the ‘progressive’ culture war against the old, outdated and traditional — and especially against the people recast as ‘right-wing’, ‘closed-minded’ and ‘bigoted’.

But globalism failed even for people of the right class, because communist China didn’t play fair on trade (stealing IP and predatory pricing moved much of the world’s manufacturing to China) and because Islamists and communists don’t play fair on human rights (Islam is too often ruled by its fundamentalists, who insist on obeying the ways of seventh century Arabia, taking over the world via thuggery).

And of course globalism failed right off the bat for people of the wrong class:

But the New Labour worldview didn’t resonate with those for whom the Labour Party used to speak. Many among Britain’s working class and beyond experienced the New Labour era for what it was: a slow-motion political, economic and cultural assault on their ways of life, communities, traditions and values — a war on the very sense of who they are.

The fightback against globalism in the UK:

The populist pushback, fuelled by working-class marginalisation, was germinating during the 2000s. But at this stage, the pushback was quiet; the rebellion hidden. It can be glimpsed in the plummeting electoral turnout during New Labour’s 13-year tenure. …

Under Blair’s stewardship, New Labour instead provided representation for the credentialled graduate class. Its globalist, ‘progressive’ worldview was mirrored in its globalist, ‘progressive’ parliamentary intake and staff. ,,,

In the early 2010s, against the backdrop of the 2008 financial crisis, working-class estrangement from Labour deepened. But it had not yet acquired a clear means of political expression. The rate of non-voting remained high, but there was still little to vote for.

That began to change at the 2015 General Election … Many ticked the box for Nigel Farage’s UKIP, which won 12.5 per cent of the vote. …

UKIP’s breakthrough was nothing compared with what happened a year later. Cameron’s Tories finally gave the electorate the chance to vote, on 23 June, on the UK’s membership of the European Union. It was a referendum in which all the main political parties, Labour included, lined up on the side of the globalist EU. They were backed by large sections of the media, big business, the wider cultural establishment and even the then US president, Barack Obama. It was proof that the New Labour worldview — ‘progressive’, anti-tradition and anti-nation — had become the establishment worldview.

Class voting returned with a vengeance in the referendum. In defiance of political- and media-elite opinion, Leave won overall by 52 per cent to 48 per cent … It was a victory fuelled overwhelmingly by a populist, democratic demand for control – for control over nation, community and way of life.  …

Leave voters … were precisely those looked down upon as outdated by New Labour. … Brexit was the fightback.

After 2017, Labour, with Keir Starmer serving as shadow Brexit secretary, had effectively set about trying to thwart Brexit. Its MPs, many of New Labour provenance, frequently joined in the wider media attack on working-class Leave voters. They painted them as fascists-in-waiting and dupes of malevolent actors. In response, those voters switched decisively to the Tories, delivering Boris Johnson’s government an 80-seat majority on 44 per cent of the vote. …

[Labour] won the 2024 General Election largely in spite of itself, on a tellingly low turnout of just 59.7 per cent. The extraordinary unpopularity of the Tories was Labour’s only real asset. It did not win back substantial working-class support, the base of the populist revolt. Many of those voters either stayed home or opted for Reform UK. Labour’s success rested, as it has for over a decade, on the affluent, ‘progressive’ middle class.

[Labour] is now a party so far removed from those it once represented that it can scarcely see them anymore…. It is a party of the posh and ‘progressive’. Of the pro-migrant and anti-Brexit. Of people who think the only thing the great unwashed want is a bit more welfare.

Over the past 20 or so months, Labour has exposed its social and intellectual exhaustion. Technocratic in style, globalist in aspiration, and culturally antagonistic towards the nation’s working-class heartlands, it has demonstrated time and again that it has no answers to the problems Britain now faces. It continues to double down on the green war against industry. It remains incapable, ideologically and logistically, of securing the nation’s borders. And, egged on by Britain’s cultural and media elites, it continues to posit rejoining the EU as the solution to all our woes.

Alongside all this, it continues to libel England’s working classes … as bigoted. Indeed, it continues to paint the largely working-class-backed Reform and the wider populist pushback as ‘far right’, proto-fascist or, in Keir Starmer’s recent words, the trailblazers of a ‘very dark path’.

It is this demonisation of the increasingly assertive populist opposition to Labour and the broader political class that is most revealing. Labour is disdaining people’s demands for national and cultural security. It is ignoring their calls for new industries and decent jobs rather than welfare dependency. It is dismissing their profoundly democratic desire for greater control over their lives and their nation. …

It’s nearly over:

Starmer’s Labour — or indeed Burnham’s or Streeting’s — is no longer the future. It is the last dying gasp of the party forged by Blair and his allies some 30-odd years ago. It was built in opposition to the interests, values and aspirations of the working classes. And now it is likely to be destroyed by them.

Britain led the world into capitalism, then the industrial revolution, and then globalism. Now it’s leading the escape from failed globalism. But what’s it going to do with the immigration hangover?

A reader asks:

Sovereign debt crisis –> welfare state can’t be funded .

Developed western countries are packed to the gunwhales with immigrant welfare dependents. How does that play out?

Muslim grooming gang extremists

Muslim grooming gang extremists. By i/o.

This tweet, with its extreme claims, caught my attention because Elon Musk reposted it.

He checked it out on AI, and yes the claims are correct, except for some doubt over nailing the girl’s tongue.

 

Commenters:

I created a database to record all these incidents and dispel confusions. I do use Grok to mine incidents but then manually review them to make sure they are accurate. Also anyone can submit cases. …

If you were to say “my house is on fire” everyone understands how dire that situation is, but when you tell a leftist, “hey little girls got raped and set on fire in England” they react to it like it’s not a big deal which makes you think you’re living in a crazy world …

I’ve tried to bring this problem up on left leaning discords, even center left leaning discords, and I just get banned. It’s frustrating how successfully they delegitimize serious issues like these by just talking about how Trump is wacky.

Elon Musk:

These come from court transcripts

Specializing early and drilling hard mostly fails — be a generalist!

Specializing early and drilling hard mostly fails — be a generalist! By Ihtesham Ali.

A Hungarian psychologist raised three daughters to prove that any child could become a chess grandmaster through early specialization. He succeeded. Two of them became grandmasters. One became the greatest female chess player who ever lived.

Then a sports scientist looked at the data and found something nobody wanted to hear.

His name is David Epstein. The book is called “Range.”

 

Manufacturing excellence by much practice … only works sometimes:

The Polgar experiment is one of the most famous case studies in the history of deliberate practice. Laszlo Polgar wrote a book before his daughters were even born arguing that geniuses are made, not born. He homeschooled all three girls in chess from age four. By their teens, Susan, Sofia, and Judit were dominating tournaments against grown men. Judit became the youngest grandmaster in history at the time, breaking Bobby Fischer’s record.

The story became the gospel of early specialization. Pick a domain young, drill it hard, and you can manufacture excellence. …

Chess yes, most things no:

Here is the distinction that took him four years of research to articulate, and that almost nobody who quotes the 10,000 hour rule has ever read.

There are two kinds of environments in which humans develop expertise. Psychologists call them kind and wicked.

A kind environment has clear rules, immediate feedback, and patterns that repeat reliably. Chess is the cleanest example. Every game ends with a winner and a loser. Every move is recorded. The board never changes shape. The pieces never invent new ways to move. A child who plays ten thousand games will see most of the patterns that exist in the game, and pattern recognition is exactly what chess mastery is built on.

A wicked environment is the opposite. Feedback is delayed or misleading. Rules shift. The patterns that worked yesterday may be exactly the wrong patterns to apply tomorrow. Most of the real world looks like this. Medicine is wicked. Investing is wicked. Building a company is wicked. Scientific research is wicked. Almost every job that involves a complex changing system with humans in it is wicked.

The Polgar sisters trained in the kindest environment any human can train in. Their success was real and the method was correct. The mistake was generalizing the method to fields where the underlying structure of the environment is completely different.

Most areas are wicked, and generalists win instead:

Epstein’s research is what made the implication impossible to ignore.

He looked at the careers of elite athletes outside of chess and golf and found that the pattern was almost the inverse of what people assumed. The athletes who reached the very top of their sports were overwhelmingly people who had played multiple sports as children, specialized late, and often switched disciplines well into their teens. Roger Federer played squash, badminton, basketball, handball, tennis, table tennis, and soccer before tennis became his focus. The kids who specialized in tennis at age six and trained year-round for a decade mostly burned out, got injured, or topped out at lower levels of the sport.

The same pattern showed up everywhere he looked outside of kind environments.

  • Inventors with the most patents had worked in multiple unrelated fields before their breakthrough work.
  • Comic book creators with the longest careers had drawn for the most different genres before settling.
  • Scientists who won Nobel Prizes were dramatically more likely than their peers to be serious amateur musicians, painters, sculptors, or writers.

The skill that mattered in wicked environments was not depth in one pattern. It was the ability to recognize when a pattern from one domain applied unexpectedly in another. That kind of thinking cannot be built by drilling a single subject. It can only be built by accumulating mental models from many subjects and learning to move between them.

How about you?

The deeper finding is the one that should change how you think about your own career.

Specialists in wicked environments often get worse with experience, not better. Epstein cites studies of doctors, financial analysts, intelligence officers, and forecasters showing that years of experience in a narrow domain frequently produce more confident judgments without producing more accurate ones. The expert builds elaborate mental models that feel comprehensive and turn out to be increasingly disconnected from the actual structure of the problem. They stop noticing what does not fit their framework. They mistake fluency for understanding.

Generalists do better in wicked domains for a reason that sounds almost mystical until you understand the mechanism. They have less invested in any single mental model, so they abandon broken models faster. They are used to being a beginner, so they are not threatened by the discomfort of not knowing. They have seen enough different domains that they can usually find an analogy from one field that unlocks a problem in another. The technical name for this is analogical thinking, and the research on it is one of the most underrated bodies of work in cognitive science.

Back to quality:

The single most useful sentence in the entire book is the one Epstein puts almost as a throwaway.

Match quality matters more than head start.

A person who tries six different fields in their twenties and finds the one that genuinely fits them will outperform a person who picked one field at fourteen and stuck to it on willpower alone. The lost years were not lost. They were the search process that produced the match. Every field they walked away from taught them something they later imported into the field they finally chose.

The reason this is so hard to accept is cultural, not empirical. We tell children to pick a path early. We reward the prodigy who knew at six. We treat the late bloomer as someone who failed to launch on time, when the data suggests they were running an entirely different and often more effective optimization process underneath.

Conclusion:

The Polgar sisters were not wrong. The conclusion the world drew from them was.

If your environment is genuinely kind, specialize early and drill hard. If it is wicked, and almost every interesting human problem is, then the people who win are the ones who refused to specialize until they had seen enough to know what was actually worth specializing in.

You are not behind. You were running the right experiment all along.

Who can you trust?

Who can you trust? By Infantry Dort.

The amount of trust I have in a person is directly proportional to how many legacy media hit pieces they attract.

Eric S. Raymond:

My first thought was: good heuristic for evaluating public figures!

My second thought was: No, wait. Sometimes the legacy media attacks genuinely bad people.

My third thought was: …but this happens surprisingly seldom. Why is that? A few seconds of thought reveal the answer.

When you’re policing an orthodoxy (and the legacy media definitely sees its job as policing an orthodoxy) the most dangerous person isn’t the one whose beliefs are radically different from the orthodoxy, but the deviant whose position is just close enough to attract converts from within the orthodox mass.

Heretics get burned more often than do unbelievers.

So yes, InfantryDort is right. Probabilistically, trusting public figures that the media constantly does hit pieces on is unlikely to tangle you up with the genuinely evil and crazy, and much more likely to point you at truth-seekers.

Finally, on the edge of extinction, the Australian opposition start to fight on Net Zero

Finally, on the edge of extinction, the Australian opposition start to fight on Net Zero. By Joanne Nova.

Walking in the Valley of Political Death, after Trump, Farage, and One Nation took all the risks and paved the way out of the Climate Swamp, the Liberals have finally been dragged into saying a definite “No” to Net Zero. …

A few brave souls in the party have spoken out (like Andrew Hastie and Alex Antic) but the official Liberal policy, as explained last November, is still that lowering emissions is a worthy thing for no good reason other than being pagan weather controlling witchcraft. Do the Liberals still think that they should pander to the Paris agreement blob? That’s what they said last year. …

The problem is that once the people realize Net Zero is an international parasite thriving on grift and graft, it’s about a nanosecond before they want a real leader who will take a blow-torch to the parasites. In that nanosecond they flip to the party of true leaders — the ones who took a position based on principle and led the way.

Until the Liberals take some risks and face down the namecalling vipers, the voters won’t believe they have the mojo to take on the whole cartel of Blob Bankers, Blob Bureaucrats, vested Blob industries and foreign interests who depend upon our climate-patsy compliance with the fantasy.

The Liberals need to start to sell the absurdities of “Net Zero” with conviction. The way to win the Teal seats is not to pander to the fantasy, it’s to mock it mercilessly.

Every day the Liberals wait for the polls to shift they are that much closer to extinction. …

Those brave souls who spoke out when the costs of saying something was high were often pushed sideways or right out of the party (like Craig Kelly and Gerard Rennick, or Barnaby Joyce and Pauline Hanson).

How about doing some due diligence? You’d find the climate models, on which the whole scare is based, are simplistic nonsense due to a poor guess by a 29 year old in Washington in 1963. The models greatly exaggerate the influence of carbon dioxide, because they get water vapor so very wrong. (Water vapor is the main greenhouse gas, emitting over 50% of the heat that Earth loses to space, much more than carbon dioxide’s piddling 13%.)

But then the climate models were adopted and driven by western bureaucracies because they furthered their political interests in bigger government. Since then a generation of politicians, bankers, and renewable barons have been pushing the climate scare.

425 Groups With CCP Ties Are Getting $1B Annually to Organize Against Israel and the U.S.

425 Groups With CCP Ties Are Getting $1B Annually to Organize Against Israel and the U.S..

Fox News report:

425 organizations with a combined $1 billion in annual revenues coordinate 736 anti-Israel ‘Nakba 78’ protests across 39 countries today — a transnational network that includes communist groups, Marxist-funded nonprofits and coalitions linked to Chinese Communist Party sympathizers.

The campaign’s own materials don’t call for a ceasefire or two-state solution. They call for the dismantling of Israel itself, framing the U.S. as a ‘fascist, imperialist, genocidal settler state’ and erasing Israel’s name entirely from their literature.

 

 

Catherine Salgado at PJ Media outlines the anti-Western craziness over Israel:

Unfortunately, the United States is the biggest hotspot of the Marxist revolutionaries protesting in favor of destroying the world’s only Jewish state to transform it into another addition to the world’s 50 Muslim nations. CCP-linked billionaire Neville Roy Singham has been bankrolling anti-Israel, pro-Iran protests in the U.S. for weeks.

It’s not exactly surprising that the CCP has consistently been on the side of Hamas and Hezbollah, and their backer, the Islamic regime of Iran, ever since the atrocities of Oct. 7, 2023. What is disturbing is just how many useful idiots there are across the West who are on the side of the jihadis, despite the unspeakable crimes committed by Hamas, despite the years of torture inflicted on the hostages, despite the fact that the overwhelming majority of Palestinians support what Hamas did, despite Israel’s generosity in pouring aid into Gaza and trying to avoid killing civilians there, and despite the Palestinian Authority financially rewarding the terrorists.

Just this week, a new Israeli Civil Commission report, “Silenced No More,” graphically described gang rape, sexual violence, sexual abuse of dead bodies, genital mutilation and burning, sexual assault of all ages and both sexes, rape of individuals in front of family members, and families forced to commit sex acts on each other during the Oct. 7 attack. For the hostages, the rapes and sexual abuse sometimes continued for months. And yet, this is the week that over 400 anti-Israel groups organized protests promoting the blood libel of “Nakba” against Israel.

 

How much of the anti-US, anti-capitalist, or environmental agitation has been bought and paid for by the Soviet and now Chinese governments? It turned out recently that many of what appeared to be US citizens commenting on X about politics were in fact from India, Nigeria, or elsewhere. Certainly many protests in the US are nakedly paid for, with many protestors knocking off en masse at for instance 12 noon. “Fake protests,” as Trump might say.

These protests are often so suicidal and nonsensical that it is hard to see them as other than funded by our rivals.

Either we import masses of voters or we reclaim the civilisation we were so lucky to inherit

Either we import masses of voters or we reclaim the civilisation we were so lucky to inherit.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, after the Bondi massacre:

We refuse to let them divide us. Australia will never submit to division, violence or hatred — and we will come through this together.”

Fred Pawle connects the dots that led us here:

On the contrary, Albo, many of us want to be divided. We don’t want to “come through this together” any more. We are tired of all your enforced togetherness. Instead, we want to “come through this” in a country where we feel at home, surrounded by people we can love, respect or at least have a laugh and a beer with. Everyone else can — pardon me while I resist the urge to use expletives here — kindly find somewhere else to live. …

We were told that the migration of people from undeveloped countries into prosperous liberal democracies was essential and good; so good, in fact, that the Labor government had to pass section 18C of the Racial Discrimination Act in 1995 to enforce compliance with it.

This has since spawned “hate speech” laws, which have had the intended psychological effect. Over the years, mass immigration has become unquestionably virtuous, to the point where your government can import millions of unskilled parasites, and anybody who objects to it is automatically labelled a racist. By promising, through state-funded translators, to give these new arrivals loads of free things, you secured huge blocks of votes at every election.

You couldn’t care less whether these new Australians want to live among the rest of us. Turns out many of them don’t. Worse, some of them want us dead, and our culture erased. Immigrants who don’t assimilate are not immigrants, they are invaders. And eventually they act like them. …

Essentially, you are asking young and future Australians to reject the homogenous culture and high-trust society that allowed your generation the freedom and opportunity to become comfortably rich, and in its place put up with fragmentation, tediously shit jobs and a reduced feeling of belonging in their own country.

And that’s not the only fundamentally flawed liberal delusion you and the ruling elite are pushing through. You’ve told young women that motherhood is not as important as having a career, young men that their masculinity is toxic, and infant children that government childcare centres are even better than being at home, the odd serial pedophile notwithstanding. …

There are people amongst us who wish us harm. Instead of organising a wreath-laying photo opportunity at the scene of the latest crime, a stronger, more resolute and patriotic national leader would be mobilising police and military to root out the remaining potential provocateurs and put them on the first flights out of here.

We’ve reached a fork in the road. Either we continue to embrace liberalism (in which case the next Bondi attack is just around the corner) or we reclaim the civilisation we were so lucky to inherit.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, recently:

We’re acting to give young Australians a fair go and to build more homes.

Alexandra Marshall:

We don’t want your cut-price slums. We want our own homes, in the suburbs where we were born, at prices we can afford. …

And:

I can’t believe Albo stood there at the election and promised a drop in migration.

And then brings out almost a million more permanent residents.

Where are they living Albo? In the houses that were meant for young Australians. That’s where.

And then Labor sends out these passive-aggressive messages to retirees telling them to ‘downsize’.

FU Albo. It’s not the job of older Australians to give up their homes because your party tried to fudge the budget numbers with mass migration.

Far-left French mayor calls for insurrection if conservatives win: ‘It’s either us or them’

Far-left French mayor calls for insurrection if conservatives win: ‘It’s either us or them’. By Remix News.

If the National Rally [RN, led by Marine Le Pen] candidate wins in the French presidential election next spring, far-left mayor Bally Bagayoko of multi-cultural Saint-Denis has said it will be invalid, calling for a “popular insurrection” if this were to occur.

One social commentator on X, Alain Weber, posted frankly about the reality France is facing: “Contrary to what the Democrats of this country thought, the danger will not come from Jean-Luc Mélenchon but from Bally Bagayoko, who is the calm face of the civil war being prepared in the suburbs.”

 

The mayor also said that those who attempt to “normalize the far right” are “dangerous,” adding that “if the far right comes to power, which we do not want, we will do everything so that it cannot happen.” …

Blaming Macron for the rise of the far right, Bagayoko stated: “Under Macron, the far right has never been so strong. We’re now at almost 140 racist members of parliament” …

Returning to the theme of inevitable insurrection, Bagayoko told the host: “It’s either us or them… that is to say, the far right,” adding later that he was “firmly convinced that the people will rise up” if RN wins next spring, while ignoring the fact that an RN victory would indicate voters exercised their democratic will. …

The danger of Bagayoko is real. “He is manufacturing the psychological conditions for a refusal of alternation, that is to say, quite simply, the conditions for a cold civil war, then hot.” …

Bagayoko drew ire from the local state prefect when it was revealed he had removed a photo of Macron, traditionally on display as a sign of respect, relegating it to a corner of his office and, by some accounts, turning it upside down.

The left are singing Bagayoko’s praises. For example:

Bagayoko, 52, the son of a family of Malian origin, won the municipal elections in March in the first round with 50.77% of the vote. It was historic. The first Black and Muslim mayor of a city with over 100,000 inhabitants. …

Bagayoko’s victory stems from a dual phenomenon: demographic and social. The young people who were demonstrating in the streets 15 years ago are now 30, 35, or 40 years old. And instead of radicalization, most have experienced a degree of bourgeoisification. They now have children, professional lives, and want recognition. Furthermore, there is social diversification. “Before, Muslims had access to immigrant jobs, but now they are doctors, lawyers, journalists… social workers. It’s a kind of gentrification of the Muslim middle class.” …

“The new France is a concept that has nothing to do with ethnicity or the division of the Republic. It’s about recognizing that a new generation constitutes France, and that it’s different from what it was 30 years ago. It’s the story of a country and a society in motion. The development of its networks, its challenges, its diversity. And that means we have to live with this new reality, including people who come from working-class neighborhoods, are Black, and become mayors,” Bagayoko points out.

Democracy is dead in France, if political actors of this stature are threatening civil war if their side does not win. This is not mere left vs right, but more about race and religion. The West is going tribal, as the third world immigrants find a voice and exert their numbers.

The left are pretending that the newcomers are just like the white population, only trivially different (skin color, style of worship). They will have our best interests at heart. History says otherwise.

Why the European Right keeps rising

Why the European Right keeps rising. By Ralph Schoellhammer at Brussels Signal.

What is rising across Europe …is …a recognition by an every growing number of citizens: That elections, in the form they have taken since the 1990s, have stopped producing the changes voters keep asking for….

Although the formal rituals continue — people going to the polls, watching the debates, not studying the party manifestos — all the substantive decisions most people see as existential priorities like migration and energy, are made elsewhere: At the European level, in supranational bodies, in NGO networks supported by public money, and in administrative organs accountable to nobody the voter can remove. The state, whose representatives often speak about “saving democracy” these days, actually likes this pattern. …

What is a nation?

A constitution does not produce loyalty. A welfare system does not produce solidarity. A passport does not produce belonging. These things are inherited from a cultural and historical substrate that liberal proceduralism takes for granted and that progressive politics actively dissolves.

When Robert Putnam published his study E Pluribus Unum in 2007, the finding that surprised even his sympathisers was that diversity reduces trust not only between groups but within them. People in heterogeneous communities trust their own neighbours less. Multiculturalism has failed on almost all accounts …

The European political class has chosen to interpret these findings as embarrassments to be managed rather than realities to be addressed. Habermas’s project of constitutional patriotism, the idea that a polity can be held together by rational adherence to legal procedure alone, was a brave attempt to construct a post-national basis for European politics. It has not worked, and the reason it has not worked is the reason no large polity in history has worked that way. Loyalty is not a contract.

Nationalism is stronger than mere economic self-interest:

It is closer to what Plato called thymos, the part of the soul that wants to be recognised and to belong to something larger than the calculation of personal advantage.

A politics that denies this desire does not abolish it. It only ensures that the desire will be channelled into parties that the political class would prefer did not exist.

Example, modern Germany:

People flock to the AfD not because they had it with democracy, but they actually want to save it.

Officially the firewall protects the constitutional order against extremism. In practice it functions as a guarantee that elections will not change the policies the established parties have already settled on. A coalition rightward of the centre is mathematically possible in several recent elections, in Germany and elsewhere (think Austria and France) but politically it has been ruled out in advance. Voters who supported the parties that, taken together, won a parliamentary majority discover that the policies enacted are the policies of the parliamentary minority.

This is an open conspiracy where the political class that has come to believe its current settlement is the end of history and that any serious challenge must be a pathology rather than a disagreement. You see, voting for the “far right” is not an expression of your political preferences, but shows that you are a despicable human being that should be barred from voting altogether.

Nazism — national socialism — was a fusion of communism and nationalism. It was dreamed up by communists returning from WW1, dismayed that the workers did not rise up against their capitalist masters — which confounded their expectations. The nationalism of the workers in the trenches was much stronger than their economic class consciousness. Lesson learned by Mussolini, and copied by Hitler.