Taiwan and Japan, the Big Betrayal Underway. By David Archibald.

An interesting speculation:

This is what may be going on in Trump’s brain. He wants Greenland. He thinks that big countries should have the right to swallow small countries near them. Thus he approves of Russia invading Ukraine and has been helping Russia as much as possible. And China invading Taiwan. Those invasions make seizing Greenland seem like the natural course of things.

There was the problem that a great chunk of the world’s high end semiconductor production came from Taiwan. But that has been mitigated by the new fabrication plants being built in the US. When Taiwan’s facilities are destroyed in the Chinese invasion, that will make the US plants more valuable. …

It may be that Trump is getting over his skis, which could yet save Greenland. After the success of Venezuela, he went for another aerial attack on Iran, which has proved intractable. For Trump to win against Iran, there has to be regime change from the current theocracy. The theocracy is looking forward to the battle. It is their life’s work. The 40,000 Iranians killed by the regime in January were just a warmup. So far Trump has desisted from making the lives of ordinary Iranians more miserable by bombing the Iranian power stations and desalination plants. The problem is that it will be hard to win in Iran without boots on the ground, and the US Army isn’t prepared to handle drones yet. They will get chewed up.

See it all.