One Nation hits the front. By Roy Morgan.

Latest poll, post budget:

The combined One Nation/Coalition vote is 48.5%, versus Labor/Green 40%.

Shy voters, by Craig Kelly:

The reason this new poll is highly significant is that it was conducted by SMS, so people could respond anonymously (just as they vote in elections).

Because of the ABC’s demonisation of One Nation — repeatedly calling them “racists” — some people won’t openly admit they are going to vote for One Nation.

That’s exactly how things played out in Farrer, where One Nation’s vote on election day at the polling booth (~40%) was substantially higher than what the polls had been showing (~30%).

hat-tip Stephen Neil