Why Would Hispanics Drop the Left?

Why Would Hispanics Drop the Left? By Victor Davis Hanson.

A recent Wall Street Journal poll reported that if the 2022 midterms were held currently, some 37 percent of Hispanic/Latino voters would likely support the Republican candidate. An equal number polled support for the Democrats. … Remember that just a year ago about 60 percent of Hispanics voted against Donald Trump and Republican candidates in general. …

Are Hispanics … following the trajectory of middle-class whites who have left the Democratic Party in droves and helped redefine the Republican Party as a more populist, working-class movement? …

These shifts suggest radical changes in second- and third-generation Hispanic voters. … We [are seeing] greater assimilation and integration of ascendant and ever more conservative second- and third-generation Hispanics. …

The Biden disasters from February to December no doubt explain Hispanic short-term discontent. But what worries the Left is also their sense that Hispanic disenchantment with Democrats is not transitory but becoming permanent …

What will the Left do? It will not moderate, nor shift positions, in Bill Clinton style, to preserve its fracturing coalition. If Hispanic defections grow, the Left may well want a closed border, in 1990s Democratic Party-style. The Left is on the horns of a dilemma because of deliberately encouraging illegal immigration for short-term gain, while cognizant that it will likely boomerang in the long-term.

As Hispanics slowly shed their prior lockstep ethnic allegiances, and indeed are increasingly not always self-identified as Hispanics, they will also develop greater class affinities — and perhaps join disenchanted, white, working-class voters who increasingly have abandoned the self-serving elitism of the Democratic Party. …

Is this the party for you?

Over the last 30 years, the elite of the Democratic Party increasingly has been composed of the upscale, largely white, incestuous professional political classes, the permanent government bureaucracy, celebrities, the proudly college educated, advanced-degreed professionals, the upper-upper bicoastal nomenklatura and, of course, the tech, media, and Wall Street billionaires and oligarchs, and their loud dependents.

We know them in popular culture from their caricatures and stereotypes as pampered leftist politicians like Gavin Newsom; the clueless and smug, but poorly educated woke journalists; the anal-retentive Karens who scream at the non-mask wearers outdoors; the nasal toned, recent university graduate experts who drone on about all the radical changes we must suffer as these 30-somethings sermonize to us about everything from climate change to recycling spoiled food; the academics who warp research in careerist fashion to reach predetermined correct conclusions; the snotty sports writers; the corrupt media “fact checkers”; the self-anointed masters of the universe like Bill Gates and Mark Zuckerberg; and the lifelong bureaucrats such as the Brennans, the Clappers, the Comeys, the Faucis, and the Milleys.

All these mostly white left-wing elites have one thing in common: they come off as self-serving, neurotic, condescending, egotistical, and supercilious. They scold the middle classes with poorly disguised contempt. And they feel exempt by their titles, degrees, their money, or their influence from the very mandates they impose on others. Whenever their elite minority counterparts on television, in the media, and in politics drone on about “white privilege, they expose their own unease with their white professional class counterparts, not with the white working classes they smear as deplorables and clingers but otherwise never see.

So lots of ascendent Hispanics do not particularly feel much in common with the presumptions of the estate-owning Pelosi, the hypocrisy of the French-Laundry-dining Newsom, or the talk-down nerdiness of a Silicon Valley grandee, who make it their business to let blacks, Hispanics, and all non-whites know just how lucky they are to have such progressive, enlightened godlike leaders, who can tell them what to think about climate change, third-trimester abortion, diversity/equity/and inclusion, transgenderism, and critical legal and racial theory.

This deskbound cadre lectures the self-made Hispanic landscaping contractor with 20 employees on how he should live and what he should think. These are the ones who scold the long-distance Hispanic trucker for consuming too much in fossil fuels and ensure that his newly acquired diesel rig will be obsolete in a few years. These seem to signal to the businesswoman — whose catalytic converter on her newly bought SUV was just stolen — that crime is no big deal, and criminals need not post bail, do time, or even be arrested.

These left-wing futurists and utopians who care little about the here and now for others less fortunate eventually inspire visceral dislike among members of the middle class of all races and ethnicities. This turn-off follows the earlier white defections from the Democratic Party of the 2000s and the beginning of black male souring on the Left — as well as the drift of the Republican Party away from its prior caricatured elitism to a receptive and more populist alternative.

In sum, sophisticated pollsters will no doubt discover all the wedge issues that are alienating Hispanics from Democrats. But one intangible that will not pop up and cannot be calibrated so easily by data is the arrogance, unlikability, and ineptness of the new left-wing bicoastal Democratic elite who demands unconditional fealty from those they “help” but with whom they otherwise have no desire to associate.

By defining themselves as different and superior, the morally-vain, virtue-signalling left shows only contempt for the majority of people.

But contempt is not a vote winner. Can a cat change its spots?