Vaccination: What we know now

Vaccination: What we know now. By David Evans.

Like most of us, when covid vaccines were first discussed as the way out in early 2020, I assumed that they would be like other vaccines. They would stop you getting infected, so you wouldn’t get sick and you wouldn’t pass it on. Later we found out it wasn’t so. Oh dear.

Then we were led to believe that if enough people were vaccinated, herd immunity would develop and covid would become uncommon if not eliminated from most communities most of the time. This seemed to be the impression the policy makers are laboring under — or were. Now we know it ain’t so. Early modeling suggested 90% vaccination with Pfizer would be enough to achieve herd immunity, but empirical results since then show that its protection wanes, so Pfizer vaccines will probably never get us to herd immunity. The modeling showed Astra-Zenica required 110% vaccination levels, so it was never going to deliver herd immunity. Oh dear.

Given that this first generation of vaccines are never going to stop covid, why bother with mass vaccination? Why are authorities so keen for everyone — the talk is to vaccinate everyone above the age of one (1) — to be vaccinated? The current official answer is to stop the hospitals from overcrowding. The vaccines do indeed substantially (though far from perfectly) protect people from hospitalization and death when they catch covid. Ok, that’s good, at least they do that.

Against that, these vaccines are risky. The anecdotes of harm and death from vaccines are legion. Too bad good statistics aren’t being collected, or we’d better be able to weigh the risks for ourselves. Then there are the long term risks of ADE or something really disastrous like Marek’s disease, to say nothing of the many booster shots that might be required. By and large, on the sketchy information to date, but perhaps not for everyone (hey, these are experimental drugs, so we don’t know yet), the risks for vaccines are probably less than the risks from catching covid. For very old or at-risk people, the vaccines are definitely a good idea.

However, for most of us there is another way — antivirals. They are well proven, not experimental, do little to no harm, and pose no long term risks. India and other countries have shown that they stop covid. Ivermectin and HCQ are the leading anti-virals. This would seem a safer and less risky way of dealing with covid. And the natural immunity acquired after catching covid (not particularly dangerous if on anti-virals) gives much better protection from later infections than vaccines do. Yet, our authorities are going out of their way to deliberately prevent individuals from taking this path, banning ivermectin explicitly to force people into vaccines instead. Insane.

My body, my choice.