Wait Just a Minute! Some Very Good News May Be Coming

Wait Just a Minute! Some Very Good News May Be Coming. By Jay Valentine.

Like many, I spent the last few nights waking up at 2:03 A.M., no reason, then looking at my phone for news, any news, that might be positive for President Trump. I survived on Rush, Bongino, Mark Levin. When the news continued to be ugly, I even checked in on ridiculous bloggers promising that ballots were watermarked and D.J. (our household name for a president we love) was actually launching a sting on the Deep State.

Enough already. Stop the madness.

Hey, I have a degree in statistics, and I have some level of critical thought. If there is such pessimism in my tribe, I am not going along.

Today I started to dig into the numbers, and as I did, I fought my confirmation bias at every step.

I realized that I, like millions of others, had been numbed into despondency by the overwhelming press, media, social media push to certify President-Elect Biden. (I put that in there so you can see how repellent it is.) …

Pennsylvania:

Biden, as of this writing, is at 290 electoral votes. Pennsylvania is 20.

I read the Justice Alito opinion, and it is pretty clear that he wants the after election night at 8:00 P.M. votes separated for a reason. Biden is going to lose at the Supreme Court, and they know it. Four justices already said the Pennsylvania Supreme Court cannot adjust voting rules. A new arrival, Justice Barrett, says she is there to apply the rules in the Constitution. OK, wanna bet she does?

Remove the after 8:00 P.M. ballots, and Biden loses Pennsylvania. Biden 270. …

Nevada:

I have lots of friends in California who have condos in Nevada to evade state taxes. There are not a couple of people doing this; there are tens of thousands. Everyone knows it, and California seeks them out.

Our old pal Harry Reid knows it as well, and he apparently has them voting in droves in this election. Probably not a big D.J. constituency. Within 72 hours of the election, the Trump team found, validated, over 3,500 of them. I do not suspect that Trump’s people stopped counting.

Every one of these is a ballot reduction for Biden.

Nevada, as of now, is well within reach for DJ and the Trump team — particularly when the California crowd is reduced. And a few of them may testify since a false vote is a very bad thing, with jail time if convicted. Maybe a bigger story here. …

Lose Nevada, lose the election. …

Wisconsin:

Right now, it is 20,000 votes in Uncle Joe’s direction. …

Well, last night, we found that Wisconsin election clerks were told, and followed the direction, to modify mail-in ballots and fill in the blanks where witnesses left out critical info.

I am sure it was just a good customer service thing and they meant no harm. The problem is every such ballot is now toast.

There were “thousands” of such prima facie wrongful votes. Oops. Biden up 20,000 — now that number is in question. …

Scrutiny might arrive in time to make a difference:

We have bloggers with lots of time on their hands going through voter rolls and showing that person after person who voted in a swing state also fought in the Civil War or maybe the War of 1812. It was funny at first, but the overwhelming number now goes beyond humor and rubs our faces in it.

I think D.J. has to swing one state. Actually, one electoral vote. Not only is this thing not over, but the Biden team must be sweating bullets.

Voter fraud at scale seemed like a really cool idea until D.J. went to the mattresses. Now that he is fighting it out one voter at a time, with the Supreme Court likely to create the starting point at Biden 270, Biden has everything to lose.

Biden won on votes that only the Democrats saw. But because there are lots of statistically unusual (nay, almost impossible) themes emerging in the swing states, and only in the swing states, there’s an abundance of red flags.

The question now is not whether fraud occurred, but whether it can be proven to make a difference to the outcome.

If widespread voter fraud is proven in the swing states, what is the remedy? Recounting the votes is enough to reverse some frauds, but some malpractices mixed in illegal votes with legal votes and they cannot be unmixed — so a recount isn’t going to do it.

In a perfect world, there would be a do-over for the whole election. But! All votes must be at a polling place, after ID has been produced, on paper ballots (so there can be a recount). Voting can be before voting day, but not after. The voter roll, of registered voters, is finalized a month ahead of voting day, so it is crystal clear who is allowed to vote. They are ticked off that roll as they vote — one person, one vote.

Except for IDing voters and preventing multiple votes by the same person, this is what we do in Australia. When the votes are counted, scrutineers for each candidate may stand looking over the shoulder of the person counting the votes, and challenge them. Every vote is scrutinized by one representative of every candidate (provided they field enough scrutineers). There has never been a significant problem with fraud here. Sadly there is some fraud, so we need voter ID and a system of only allowing a person to vote once. Confidence in the Australian voting system is high.