Thank Bigotry from The Party of Peace for the shy voter effect, by Joanne Nova.
The bullies in the media and academic wings of the Democrats made it dangerous to reveal voting intentions.
In the Media-Bubble Donald Trump is a psychopathic, narcissist, and cowardly Nazi. And what kind of person would vote for that? Mostly bad people. Hillbillies, old people. Toxic males — and who wants to be one of those? Even though 60 million Americans voted for Donald Trump, the ABC and CNN seem to find the gun toting militia and lonely hermits with a 6 inch beard. The only attractive Trump voters were reformed ones who were voting for Biden.
Psychology Today reviewed Trump voters and actually talks of “dog whistles” Trump sends to “bigoted supporters”, especially the evil kind of whites that don’t mix with minorities. Trump voters suffer from Authoritarian Personality Syndrome. Indeed, “support for Trump is correlated with a standard scale of modern racism.” So there. …
The Party of Tolerance created the toxic hate-fest of Trump voters with righteous indignation, degradation and humiliation. Everyone got the message.
Who’s wearing the jackboots here?
A reader e-mailed from the West to say that the lines for early voting in his semi-rural area have been astonishing. His county is one of the most Democratic in the US, but he said that the massive voter registrations this season have been primarily from regular people — ranchers, cowboys, construction workers, oil field workers and service workers — who had never bothered voting before. They are mostly registering Independent according to reliable sources he knows. The reader is confident that these people haven’t been counted in the polls as they are a group considered to be non-likely voters.
He mentioned that his wife, a naturalized citizen from China, has voted Democratic for as long as she has been able to vote here. This year, she’s voting for Trump. Why? “This whole year has reminded her too much of the Cultural Revolution,” he said. “She has been horrified watching the events of the summer unfold.”
The reader added that she has been part of a big TV network/newspaper tracking poll. She certainly did not ask to be; they randomly called her first back in the spring primary season. She was afraid to turn them down and wished she had never answered the first call. They call her once a week to ask her who she’s voting for. She has told them consistently that she’s a Biden voter, and she has been careful to answer all the ancillary questions in a “liberal way” so as not to give them any idea there is a problem. But that’s not what she really believes. Rather, she is terrified of getting on a list somewhere as a Trump voter.
When the reader asks her why she is lying to the pollsters, her response: “You Americans are so naive and so trusting. Chairman Mao and the Red Guard did exactly this same kind of thing in so many clever ways. You will get on a list somewhere and when the time comes, your life will be over. I will never put my family through what I went through. That is why I came here in the first place — to get away from all that.”
The reader said he was out yesterday doing some work adjacent to where people in his town were lined up to vote, and he overheard what people were chatting about. He said there were lots of people who were clearly service workers, cowboys, and construction types — just the people being reported as new voters. “And I heard them talking mostly about antifa, Portland, transgendered granddaughters being forced to compete with men, Hunter Biden photos, and Joe Biden dementia.” This was constant — and this was going on for a little more than 2 hours.
The reader said that this is happening in a highly Democratic county. He reports there are no Biden signs anywhere on cars, houses or billboards but lots of MAGA signs went up like mushrooms after a summer rain this week.
Even the pollsters at Trafalgar might be undercounting shy voters:
The secret sauce used by Trafalgar to try to find “hidden” Trump voters is asking people whom they think their neighbors will vote for. The idea is that someone might be more candid about their own preference for Trump if you couch your question in terms of whether someone they know might support him.
Which sounds like a good trick to get people to fess up. The problem is, when they live in an inner city stronghold their neighbours probably will all vote for Biden so the trick fails to find the Trump support deep in enemy territory. …
But don’t go counting chickens yet, especially Chickens-We-Really-Want-Hatched. The Uni of Southern California’s Dornside Center had Trump winning the popular vote in 2016 but now it has him 11% behind. Crazy right? When they try to pry out the shy voter, they ask who do they think their social circle will vote for, and that narrows the lead to 5 points. When they ask, “who do you expect to win” the people watching relentless Biden-Winning-Polls put Trump ahead by just one point.
Trafalgar’s Robert Cahaly says there is a hidden Trump vote that is not being accounted for in polls that show Biden on a glide path to the White House.
“There are more [shy Trump voters] than last time and it’s not even a contest,” Cahaly said, adding that it’s “quite possible” that the polling industry is headed for a catastrophic miss in 2020.
Ah. Truth time.