Wuhan death rate from Covid-19 now estimated as 1.4%. By Joseph Wu et al.
A new paper in Nature estimates that the death rate from COVID-19 (the probability of dying after developing symptoms) in Wuhan was 1.4% (0.9 – 2.1%), to the end of February.
This is substantially lower than the naïve confirmed rate of 4.5%, or the ratio of deaths to recoveries-plus-deaths of 11%.
Compared to those aged 30–59 years, those aged below 30 and above 59 years were 0.6 (0.3–1.1) and 5.1 (4.2–6.1) times more likely to die after developing symptoms.