Study: If China had acted promptly, there would be 95% less of virus cases and spread

Study: If China had acted promptly, there would be 95% less of virus cases and spread. By Dr Shaengjie Lai at the University of Southampton. Timing, openness, and making the right decisions quickly really matters:

The study estimates that by the end of February 2020 there was a total of 114, 325 COVID-19 cases in China. It shows that without non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) — such as early detection, isolation of cases, travel restrictions and cordon sanitaire — the number of infected people would have been 67 times larger than that which actually occurred.

The research also found that if interventions in the country could have been conducted one week, two weeks, or three weeks earlier, cases could have been reduced by 66 percent, 86 percent and 95 percent respectively — significantly limiting the geographical spread of the disease. However, if NPIs were conducted one week, two weeks, or three weeks later than they were, the number of cases may have shown a 3-fold, 7-fold, or 18-fold increase, respectively.

Matt Margolis:

The coronavirus was already spreading around the world before China acted to combat its spread for approximately three weeks, according to a timeline generated by Axios. …

Unfortunately, there are some in the media and the Democratic Party who are more outraged by people calling the coronavirus the “Chinese coronavirus” or the “Wuhan virus” because, they say, it’s xenophobic and racist. China needs to be held accountable for their failure to curb the spread of the virus at its onset, but based on the current climate in the United States, blaming Trump is far more politically convenient.

Good one, Chinese CCP.