Australian Election 2019: It’s On, by Sinclair Davidson. On May 18.
The starting point is:
- Sportsbet have Labor at $1.16 and Coalition at $4.85 to win the election.
- Labor are favourite in 94 of the 151 seats.
- The Coalition are tipped to win 51 seats with 6 going to other parties. …
Mark the Ballot does very nice number crunching using polling data and the like. His best estimate (from last week) is that the Liberals have no chance of winning the election.