What if There’s a ‘Red Wave’ in November?

What if There’s a ‘Red Wave’ in November? By G. Benton.

Let’s go back 2016. It’s a cliché that most were blindsided by the outcome. I didn’t get my hopes up that Hillary would lose, but I had an irrational hunch that a Trump victory was possible. When he actually won, I started to re-evaluate a lot of assumptions and reject much of what passes for political analysis today.

Most seem to agree that Trump’s victory is part of a populist trend, along the same lines as Brexit. One consequence of populism is that predictions based on ‘normal’ precedent fail with some regularity. Hillary should have trounced Trump with her war chest and media backing. Same with Brexit. …

Voters have tried for real change, over and over:

It’s useful to remember that Obama’s victory over Hillary in 2008 was disruptive. And Obama’s rhetoric was somewhat populist, endearing him with some of the same voters who later elected Trump. He ran as an agent of change and so did Trump. Both cultivated a cult of personality and polarized the opposition.In my view, this is not about partisan politics. In both cases, the insurgent candidate upended the status quo. Both repudiated the establishment’s preferred candidate. The Tea Party was a rebellion against the GOPe and rampant overreach by Obama Democrats. That rebellion attracted voters who’d abandoned the Republican party during the Bush years. …

Similarly, Bernie represented an insurgency against Hillary because the left’s base had no confidence in the Democrat party. …

At this point, the establishment in both parties wish things would just return to normal. The Clintons want the Bernie Bros to sit down and shut up. Similarly, the GOPe would love nothing more than for Trump and his voters to be brought to heel. …

Trump is running against both the Democrats and the establishment Republicans:

As for the GOP, if they lose the majority it will be their own fault. They’ve done their best to slow walk and sandbag Trump’s populist agenda. The failure to repeal Obamacare, funding Planned Parenthood and the general fiscal promiscuity of the Omnibus budget are staggering betrayals. Congress managed to spend 1.3 trillion and enrage everyone but their special interest donors. And yet somehow they failed to include the piddling 25 billion for the wall.

On DACA, Sanctuary Cities, and Amnesty, the GOPe and the Democrats diverge from Trump’s agenda and alienate a significant percentage of voters. Trump’s priorities appear to be more in line with voters who oppose illegal immigration and appear to even want legal immigration reduced. …

Establishment pundits keep getting everything wrong. Trade War? Tax cuts? Russia Collusion? DACA? Whatever the issue, the anti-Trump establishment (on right and left) have so beclowned themselves that one can predict the future with reasonable accuracy simply by expecting the opposite of whatever they pontificate.

Something rotten happened in the Swamp. I think the biggest X-factor that could spawn a Red Tsunami is the disgusting corruption behind Mueller, Comey, McCabe, and others inside the Obama FBI, DOJ, and State. Forget morale. At this point, to believe Mueller is a good man on a mission to expose collusion with Russia is a full-time denial job. You have to work to avoid the deluge of revelations that point to the opposite conclusion. If the IG report on McCabe is any indication, I think the fallout could make Watergate look like an HR violation. It goes without saying that if Mueller manages to find something impeachment worthy on Trump, all bets are off for the Republicans. Still, we all know Hillary, the Clinton Foundation, the FISA warrants, and the behavior of key officials at these agencies, are all deeply troubling and possibly criminal. Corruption, collusion, obstruction of justice, and worse, are almost certain to be exposed if a proper investigation is conducted. …

Whether you like him or hate him, Trump ran as an outsider and has delivered a lot of his campaign promises. That is a Unicorn as far as voters are concerned. …

The Democrats are more committed to the #Resistance than their country … Most Americans are not that political or partisan, so the Democrats hyper attack-dog campaign against Trump has worn thin.

Europe and the US have had steadily-growing populist revolts for a couple of decades now. The global western establishment ignores what their native populations want, and is gradually flooding their countries with left-voting third world immigrants. This grand theme is gradually emerging in Australia too.

hat-tip Scott of the Pacific