If the Republicans are the White Party, then the Democrats are the Black Party. By Steve Sailer. An important and insightful article from 2009, prompted by a recent article in the NYT about assembling a new Democrat majority based on black women. From the NYT, about the upcoming governors election in the state of Georgia and a black woman focusing on the issues of redistribution (aka the gimmedats):
Stacey Abrams … may very well take a momentous step closer to becoming the first black woman in the nation to be elected governor. Ms. Abrams will have entered that office lifted by the political power of a multiracial coalition led by the Democratic Party’s most powerful voting bloc, black women. …
Some are arguing that white voters are the best way to close the roughly 215,000-vote gap that has kept Democrats out of the governor’s mansion for the last decade. … The numbers and the history show the folly of that approach. By insisting on the strategy of appealing to white Republican and moderate voters, Democrats have lost over and over again with a population that is nearly a majority of people of color — specifically, voters of color who make up nearly half of the Democratic Party membership in Georgia and nationally. Even casual observations of these numbers and trends would indicate that Democrats do not need to persuade a single Trump voter to win. …
Ms. Abrams has addressed issues of racial justice, economic inequality, L.G.B.T. rights and gender discrimination in an integrated platform. Her vision for “economic mobility” directly takes on the structural barriers keeping people in poverty. … She is boldly advocating access to obstetricians and gynecologists, is an abortion rights advocate and wants to attract medical personnel to underserved areas of the state….
The Abrams idea — that black women leading a multiracial bloc of voters will establish a new base — may also revolutionize American electoral politics.
The math is clear: Black voters are a quarter of Democrats, and black women have the highest turnout.
Foreseen by Sailer’s 2009 article? Sailer:
In 2008, McCain let Obama position himself to blacks as the black candidate, to other nonwhites as the nonwhite candidate, and to whites as the postracial candidate. …
The good news for the GOP about black voters: it really can`t get much worse than 2008. McCain ran as gingerly as imaginable on topics even remotely related to race, and still lost 95-4 among blacks.
And black turnout was very high. Indeed, the highest turnout rate among any group was among black women—which is quite remarkable considering that turnout typically correlates positively with income, education, and age. This is a tribute to the intense politicization of blacks. …
But let`s be realistic. Being, in essence, the white party makes the GOP uncool. And that`s only going to get worse as the impact of decades of indoctrination in the uncoolness of white people by the school system and Main Stream Media continue to pile up.
Further … the GOP will never be able to shake its white party image. It will either increase its share of the white vote or it will go out of business as a party capable of winning national power.
My suggestion: the only long-term option for the Republicans, the de facto white party, is to rebrand the Democrats as the de facto black party.
Not the Minority Party or the Cool, Hip, Multicultural Party — but the Black Party. Go with the flow of the fundamental Manichaeism of American thought: Black versus White. …
Hispanics and Asians certainly will never be terribly happy with the idea of being junior partners in the white party. (Indeed, lots of white people have an allergy to belonging to the white party.) Hence, the alternative must be framed that if Hispanics and Asians don`t want to be junior partners in the white party, they get be junior partners in the black party.
Black or white: choose one.
Or they can not choose and stay home on Election Day.
The subtle cunning of the tactic of rebranding the Democrats as the black party is not to criticize the Democrats for being the vehicle of African-American political activism, but to praise them for it, over and over, in the most offhand “everybody-knows” ways.
Republicans can hurry along the coming Democratic train wreck by, for example, lauding blacks as the “moral core” of the Democratic Party. Respectfully point out that the Democratic Party is the rightful agent for the assertion of African-American racial interests, and that advancing black interests is central to the nature of the Democratic Party. Note that, while individual blacks wishing to vote for the good of the country are more than welcome in the GOP, black racial activists have their natural home in the Democratic Party. That`s what the Democrats are there for.
Don`t argue it. Just treat it as a given.
Moreover, Republican rhetoric should encourage feelings of proprietariness among blacks toward their Democratic Party. It`s not all that hard to get blacks to feel that they morally deserve something, such as, for example, predominance in the Democratic Party. African-Americans are good at feeling that others owe them deference.
This kind of subtle language, casually repeated, puts Democrats in a delicate spot. Either they insult blacks by denying this presumption, or they alarm their Asian, Hispanic, and white supporters by not denying it. As everybody knows, but seldom says, black political control hasn`t worked out well for places as far apart as Detroit and Zimbabwe. …
As the black sense of rightful ascendancy in the Democratic Party becomes more pronounced, Hispanics will be demanding that their burgeoning numbers mean that it`s now their turn. Meanwhile, more Asians will wonder why they are supporting an agglomeration dominated by blacks who don`t share their values. And white Democrats will wonder how exactly they can prosper in a party where everybody else is allowed to speak out in internal disputes as representatives of a legitimately aggrieved racial group, but they aren`t.
As Sailer comments today,
But now the Democrats appear headed to rebranding themselves not just as the Black Party but as the Black Women Party.