We will now see if a clearly technically and economically superior alternative can kill $30 billion in waste for an inferior and delayed project over the next decade. We will also see if the US government will try to steal SpaceX intellectual property.
The SpaceX Heavy not only cost $500 million to develop versus $11 billion already spent for no flights for the Space Launch System. Space Launch System will need another $5-10 billion to get close to where SpaceX Heavy is in launch capacity but still without reusability and for a system that will cost 10-20 times more to fly.
Space Launch System will now be an embarrassing poster child for government waste and corruption.
It is has been obvious for decades that the US government has corrupt and broken spending.
Space Launch System is costing over $2 billion per year and will not have its first launch until 2019 if the new schedule was kept. The initial system would only be able to launch 70 tons. It would not be able to launch 130 tons until 2029 if development schedule was kept. The SLS program would have increased costs when they actually starting launching rockets. Costs would ramp to over $4 billion per year from 2019. $11 billion has already been spent and after seven years there will be no launch for another two years.
SpaceX will fly for $90 million per launch versus the planned $1 billion for Space Launch System. A 100-ton payload capacity Falcon Super Heavy with two more side boosters can be created that would match any planned Space Launch System that could fly for the next ten years. …
Space Shuttle and Space Station are a history of overspending and waste to the tune of about $400 billion. The total cost of the actual 30-year service life of the space shuttle program through 2011, adjusted for inflation, was $209 billion. There were 135 Space Shuttle launches. The cost of the Space shuttle was over $1.5 billion per launch. The Space Shuttle was initially pitched as a reusable $5 million per launch system that would refly every week. These promises are all the things that SpaceX is on the way to actually delivering.
NASA used to be a bunch of nearly-all white men, selected by merit, who got to the moon using slide rule technology. The right stuff.
From about 1970, however, women and blacks were increasingly hired under diversity rules, so merit was set aside. From 1972 onward, NASA became overly bureaucratic and achieved little. It now cannot get to the international space station, let alone the moon.