More on the Iranian Revolution

More on the Iranian Revolution, by Rich Kozlovich. First, from Western media are ignoring a revolution in Iran:

These pensioners are old enough to remember how life was when the Shah of Iran was in charge, and when they were young, impetuous and….well….stupid. Now all a sudden the Reza Shah wasn’t so bad after all.” “Admittedly, he was a tyrant, but the freedoms under the Shah were far greater than anything going on in Iran right now.

They traded a beneficent tyrant for an insane group of clerics who’ve done nothing but suppress them, murder them, abuse them and rob them for decades, and now – they’ve discovered they’ve robbed them blind. And now they’re shocked! Imagine that!

From Iranian Women Defy Islamic Dress Code as Anti-Government Protests Sweep Nation:

Since the 1979 Iranian Revolution, which established Islamic rule in the once free and prosperous country, women have been historically oppressed. However, brave women are now taking to the streets in defiance of Sharia law. These protests are reminiscent of 1979 when thousands of women publicly condemned the government imposed veiling of women.

Kozlovich:

Modern Iran, once known as Persia, is mostly useless desert, but it’s also a mountain country. And Iran has no navigable rivers — an important component to capital generation — the ability to move goods quickly and cheaply.

Mountain farming is difficult, but that’s the only areas in Iran where they’re high enough to get enough moisture to grow crops, but the rains are inconsistent, thus making Iran’s agricultural economy a feast or famine cycle.

Being a mountain nation makes it difficult to invade, but it also makes it difficult to control. These mountain populations are populations separated by valleys, and those populations don’t necessarily identify with people in the next valley, much less those further on.

In spite of the fact Iran has between a 90 and 95 percent Shiite Muslim population, this is not a demographically homogeneous nation. Not only do these mountains create separate identities, sixteen percent of Iran’s population are Azerbaijanis, and they have a large Kurdish population, neither of which are easy to deal with. Over half of the Iranians don’t even consider themselves Persian.

What will happen? At some point economic reality will have to set in on this nation. It’s too small, too land locked, it has no ability to be a real capital generator outside of its oil, and that value is dropping by the minute, the United States is going to cause them as many problems as they can, and their single port could easily be destroyed by a deep water Navy. They are not in a position to enforce their will against anyone, ergo, they use proxy forces — terrorists — and that will come back to haunt them.

Their options are running low, their credibility is non-existent, they’re despised throughout the region, and now they’re dealing with a President of the United States who isn’t going to be bluffed or intimidated. It would seem to me there’s going to be a regime change of major proportions, and the clerics will not be a part of the change, and Islam — as it’s being imposed on Iran now — will be in for a shock.