Australian Election Results: Overall and seat by seat results.
8:14 pm Sydney time: 36.1% counted, LNP and Labor each on 57 seats, others 5, and 31 in doubt. Labor is ahead in Eden-Monaro, the famous bellwether seat, with 33% counted and a 5.1% swing to Labor.
ABC election analyst Antony Green said the Coalition had its nose in front overall. “It looks like the Government is on track, especially because we still have Western Australia to come in,” he said.
8:59 pm Sydney time: 50.9% counted, LNP 70 seats, Labor 62 seats, others 5, and 14 in doubt. Labor is ahead in Eden-Monaro, the famous bellwether seat, with 45.9% counted and a 5.4% swing to Labor. ABC television says there has been a 2.9% swing to Labor, not enough to win government if applied evenly — it is now very unlikely Labor will win, and the uncertainty is over whether the LNP will govern in their own or as a minority government.
1:19 am Sydney time: 76.0% counted, LNP 72 seats, Labor 66 seats, others 5, and 7 in doubt. Labor is ahead in Eden-Monaro, the famous bellwether seat, with 83.0% counted and a 5.9% swing to Labor. Result still uncertain. Counting — including postal and absentee votes — will resume on Tuesday. The election fate hangs on five seats: Capricornia, Cowan, Batman, Forde, and Hindmarsh.
1:31 am Sydney time: 76.8% counted, LNP 67 seats, Labor 67 seats, others 5, and 11 in doubt (and the ALP are ahead in six). Who knows?
2:00 am Sydney time: 77.2% counted, LNP 67 seats, Labor 67 seats, others 5, and 11 in doubt (and the ALP are ahead in six). The result likely won’t be known for several days. A reasonable discussion of likely prospects on the ABC site here.
Given that the five “Others” break 4 to 1 in favor of Labor (probably), there is a reasonable chance the ALP will form a minority government. Given that postal and late counting tends to favor the Liberals, perhaps the Liberals might yet form a majority government. Counting — including postal and absentee votes — will resume on Tuesday.