The Graph That Explains the Migrant Crises of 2016-2100

The Graph That Explains the Migrant Crises of 2016-2100, by Steve Sailer, who put togther this graph based on the U.N.’s 2015 revised population estimates:

Population 1950-2010 Africa, ME, Europe


That’s probably not going to happen due to some combination of (A) intelligent self-restraint, (B) mass migration, and (C) Malthusian Nightmares (war, famine, disease, etc. etc.) ….

Keep in mind that there’s not a one to one relationship between population growth and emigration. In general, people try to assess whether the future at home looks brighter than the present. But people in Africa and the Middle East can see their countries’ futures will be more crowded and constrained.

[A]t present, white people don’t seem to be making much of an effort to facilitate and encourage reasonable family planning in Africa. Because that would be, you know, racist. Which is the worst thing in the world, much worse than the U.N.’s population forecast.

So, who’s in favor of open borders and paying benefits to refugees that are 10 times the average income in sub-Saharan Africa? Who thinks European culture is, to use their favorite word, sustainable?

Political correctness gone mad on campus

Political correctness gone mad on campus, by Clarissa Bye. The Institute of Public Affairs says PC is stifling free speech on Australian university campuses and student’s hurt feelings are being prioritized over academic debate. Matthew Lesh said:

Students are being persecuted over their political views, while growing policy guidelines on “acceptable” speech are curtailing academic freedoms

We have policies that now forbid sarcasm and making people feel “uncomfortable. We need to have a public debate about this.

Universities depend on free and open intellectual debate. It is impossible to develop and discuss ideas in an atmosphere where certain concepts are restricted.

[A]n attempt to set up a men’s shed group at Sydney University was blocked as “too masculine” — but allowed to go ahead after they appointed a Queer Officer, a Women’s Officer and an Ethno Culture Officer. … There was a women’s space and a queer space … men have a high suicide rates and there’s not necessarily anywhere on campus where we can access resources informally.


Keven Donnelly at the Daily Telegraph opines:

Any curriculum that defends Western political and legal systems and way of life is attacked on the [University of Sydney’s Religion State and ­Society Research] Network’s website for replicating and reinforcing what is described as “the socially constructed concept of whiteness”. …

Ah, our civilizational rivals want us to just commit suicide already:

The network, in part ­funded by the Australian and Malaysia Institute and Council of Australian Arab Relations and associated with Muslim-majority states and the Muslim diaspora, calls on Australian universities “to dismantle the white curriculum” and to “criticise the ­reproduction of whiteness”.

What, so we can be like Saudi Arabia? Muslim clerics would soon make a few changes to the lifestyles of the PC.

The re-emergence of the political correctness movement on university and college campuses in Australia, America and Britain provides further examples of the cultural left’s antipathy to Western culture and its tendency to rewrite history.

See the earlier furore over university guidelines around indigenous history.

Europe at the Edge of the Abyss

Europe at the Edge of the Abyss, by Victor Davis Hanson. Normal nations would close their borders after attacks:

After suffering serial terrorist attacks from foreign nationals and immigrants, a normal nation-state would be expected to make extraordinary efforts to close its borders and redefine its foreign policy in order to protect its national interests. But a France or a Belgium is not quite a sovereign nation any more, and thus does not have complete control over its national destiny or foreign relations.

The new German problem is ideological:

As part of the European Union, France and Belgium have, for all practical purposes, placed their own security in the hands of an obdurate Angela Merkel’s Germany, which is hellbent on allowing without audit millions of disenchanted young Middle Eastern males into its territory, with subsequent rights of passage into any other member of the European Union that they wish. The 21st-century “German problem” is apparently not that of an economic powerhouse and military brute warring on its neighbors, but that of an economic powerhouse that uses its wealth and arrogant sense of social superiority to bully its neighbors into accepting its bankrupt immigration policies and green ideology.

The European immigration disaster is more than Islam:

Europe’s immigration policy is a disaster — and for reasons that transcend the idiocy of allowing the free influx of young male Muslims from a premodern, war-torn Middle East into a postmodern, pacifist, and post-Christian Europe. Europe has not been a continent of immigrants since the Middle Ages. It lacks the ingredients necessary to assimilate, integrate, and intermarry large numbers of newcomers each year: There is no dynamic and fluid economy, no confidence in its own values, no belief that class and race are incidental, not essential, to one’s persona, no courage to assume that an immigrant made a choice to leave a worse place for a better one. And all this is in the context of a class-bound hierarchy masked and excused by boutique leftism.

Immigration as a leftist tool for big government:

The rapid influx of vast numbers of unassimilated, uneducated, poor, and often illegal newcomers may violate every rule of successful immigration policy. Yet the onrush does serve the purposes of the statist, who demagogues for an instantaneous equality of result. Bloc voters, constituents of bigger government, needy recipients of state largesse, and perennial whiners about inequality are all fodder for European multicultural leftists …

Big government hobbles Europe demographically:

Europeans are not having children for lots of reasons. A static and fossilized economy without much growth gives little hope to a 20-something European that he or she can get a good job, buy a home, have three children, and provide for those offspring lives with unlimited choices. Instead, the young European bides his time, satisfying his appetites, as a perpetual adolescent who lives in his parents’ flat, seeks to milk the system, and waits for someone to die at the tribal government bureau. …

Socialism also insidiously takes responsibility away from the individual and transfers it to the anonymous, but well-funded, state. The ancient Greek idea that one changes one’s children’s diapers so that one day they can change his is considered Neanderthal or just crudely utilitarian. Why seek children and the honor of raising and protecting them when the state can provide all without the bother and direct expense?

The author’s recommendation:

As a general rule, whatever Europe is now doing, we [the US] should do the opposite — for our very survival in an increasingly scary world.

Libya threatens to open migrant floodgates into Europe

Libya threatens to open migrant floodgates into Europe. The EU recently agreed to generously dole out money to Turkey to keep its refugees at home. Incentive, anyone?

Libya will “open the floodgates” and let thousands pour into Europe if the West does not help combat illegal immigration, officials have warned.

More blame?

Is this the Libyan government’s fault for misdiverting funds, the West’s fault for not following through, or just an omnishambles? Nobody’s saying—and the media doesn’t seem particularly curious to find out, or to put the pieces together. Of course, if Obama were a Republican there would be non-stop, wall-to-wall coverage of this continuing disaster, and if Hillary Clinton were a Republican the press would never let anybody forget for a minute that this is the policy she once hoped would be the star in her crown.

The Battle for the Bathrooms

The Battle for the Bathroom, by Matthew Hennessey. US states are passing “bathroom bills” — boys must use the little boy’s room, girls must use the little girl’s room.

Not so fast, Bigoty McBigotface.

To the radicals behind the push to let transgender individuals use any bathrooms they like, the issue has become the latest in a long-string of valiant last stands against the intolerance and hatred of the traditionally minded. Like same-sex marriage — always less a core conviction than an effective cudgel to use against conservatives — this business of having the tiny minority of gender-confused people dictate to the rest of us how we should order society is likely to become the Civil Rights Issue of Our Time™.

Section 18C may render all speech “inoffensive”

Section 18C may render all speech “inoffensive”, by Augusto Zimmermann, Joshua Forrester and Lorraine Finlay, argue in a new book that section 18C of the Racial Discrimination Act may be unconstitutional, and in any case its use to silence debate is undemocratic and has dire consequences for freedom of speech in Australia.

Consider the recent case of Cindy Prior at the Queensland University of Technology (QUT). Ms Prior ejected three students from an Indigenous-only computer lab in 2013 because they weren’t Indigenous. The students soon posted on Facebook: “Just got kicked out of the unsigned Indigenous computer room. QUT stopping segregation with segregation,” and “I wonder where the white supremacist computer lab is.” Dr Sharon Hayes, a QUT lecturer

…stated at the time that “it seems a bit silly” to evict students from a computer lab for not being Indigenous when there are computers not being used. She apparently suggested that Ms Prior might have been in breach of QUT anti-discrimination policy by asking students who visited the Oodgeroo Unit whether they were Indigenous.

Ms Prior said she felt “sick, furious and distraught” after the comments of Dr Hayes.

According to Ms Prior, all these comments have caused her to suffer “offence, embarrassment, humiliation and psychiatric injury”. She says she didn’t feel safe and was worried about being verbally or physically assaulted. She claims she went home on that day feeling sick and stressed, as she did not feel safe and was worried about verbal or physical attack.

Ms Prior is suing the students and Dr Hayes for $247,570 under 18C. The Australian Human Rights Commission determined in August last year that there was “no reasonable prospect of the matter being settled by conciliation”, so Ms Prior filed her claim in the Federal Circuit Court.

Naturally, the very fact that a claim can be made on the basis of these facts in the first place highlights the problems with the low harm threshold established by section 18C. In many respects, “the process is the punishment”, particularly in a context where an allegation of racism inevitably carries with it special opprobrium in the community.

Who discriminated against whom, on the basis of race? What a “chilling effect” this has.

Imagine If Conservatives in Academia Could Safely ‘Come Out’

Imagine If Conservatives in Academia Could Safely ‘Come Out’, by Virginia Postrel, who review a new book “Passing on the Right: Conservative Professors in the Progressive University,” by Shields and Dunn.

The modern academy pays lip service to diversity. Yet as a “stigmatized minority,” the authors note, right-of-center professors feel pressure to hide their identities, in many cases consciously emulating gays in similarly hostile environments. “I am the equivalent of someone who was gay in Mississippi in 1950,” a prominent full professor told Shields and Dunn. He’s still hiding because he hopes for honors that depend on maintaining his colleagues’ good will. “If I came out, that would finish me,” he said.

Conservatives nowadays nearly always hide their views until they’re safely tenured, a deception that is more than a temporary hardship:

But the dishonesty corrodes the mission of the university. For instance, a political scientist at a research university told the authors that he wouldn’t assign works by Friedrich Hayek in his political economy class before he was tenured. His fears of political ostracism thereby deprived students of exposure to an influential 20th-century thinker.

Complete dominance of the academy in the arts leads many progressives to assume conservatives are dopey:

The paucity of conservative professors also gives liberal scholars a misleading picture of the American right, reinforcing the idea that conservatism is incompatible with intellectual rigor. Liberal academics picture Rush Limbaugh rather than an intellectual peer.

Give it five minutes

Give it five minutes, by Jason Fried. Insights from someone who admits that he used to be a hothead: “whenever anyone said anything, I’d think of a way to disagree.” His life changed when someone responded:

Man, give it five minutes. It’s fine to disagree, it’s fine to push back, it’s great to have strong opinions and beliefs, but give my ideas some time to set in before you’re sure you want to argue against them.

Fried writes:

“Five minutes” represented “think”, not react. … Learning to think first rather than react quick is a life long pursuit. It’s tough. I still get hot sometimes when I shouldn’t. …

There’s also a difference between asking questions and pushing back. Pushing back means you already think you know. Asking questions means you want to know. Ask more questions. …

There are two things in this world that take no skill: 1. Spending other people’s money and 2. Dismissing an idea.

Dismissing an idea is so easy because it doesn’t involve any work. You can scoff at it. You can ignore it. You can puff some smoke at it. That’s easy. The hard thing to do is protect it, think about it, let it marinate, explore it, riff on it, and try it. The right idea could start out life as the wrong idea.

Political correctness is characterized by a learned canon (though it changes over time, often in contradictory ways). Ever notice how quick PC people are to shoot if someone dares to say something non-PC? Notice too how PC people are attracted to big government, which is all about spending other people’s money? And the organizations in Australia that do the most to teach the PC canon are creatures of big government — the ABC and the universities? No skill required…

hat-tip Matthew

Why Are Millennial Men Such ‘Wimps’?

Why Are Millennial Men Such ‘Wimps’? Tomi Lahren lets loose with some political incorrectness:

Some choice quotes:

Is it just me, or have men gotten really soft these days? …

This has nothing to do with sexuality. It has to do with the helplessness of today’s young men. It seems few can change a light bulb let alone fix a flat tire or change oil, and that makes for pretty slim pickings for the females out there looking for a match.

Chivalry is all but dead, and so is manliness. And by the way, wearing a flannel shirt and having a beard doesn’t make you a man if you still can’t change a tire and are scared of the dark. It seems like millennial men either don’t have jobs or are still using their parents’ credit cards to buy us drinks at the bar…

So whose fault is it? Is it our fault, ladies? Are we getting too strong? Nah, I don’t buy that. See, a real man knows how to handle a strong woman, so this isn’t our problem. Maybe it’s the way boys are raised these days: fatherless homes and no male role models. It’s hard to learn how to be a man with no man around. …

Please teach your sons to be men, because the women of the world are tired of the boys.

Helen Smith points to “the misandric legal and political culture and how it affects young men these days — that is the real problem.” Commmenter bggatdl notes:

“Boys being boys” no longer exists. Now, when a boy acts like a boy, he is really ADHD or some other made-up diagnosis and needs to be medicated to almost a state of stupor. Boys are taught from a young age that showing interest in a girl is not natural, but a violation of her safe space, sexual harassment, and even a potential sexual assault.

Boys and men are crapped all over in every TV commercial. …

I feel bad for today’s young guys. I’m happily married for years in a mutually respectful relationship where my wife and I can have a disagreement or argument and she won’t run to the nearest divorce lawyer because she isn’t like the younger women today that are applauded for leaving their men and being “independent.” I have a Facebook friend who was in her mid-30’s, left her husband of 12 years and now sees her two kids half the time … because she “found a new hot guy and feels alive again!” All of her friends are like “you go girl!,” “you gotta live for you” and comments like that. No one seems to notice she destroyed a marriage to a good man and wrecked her kids’ lives in pursuit of a new relationship. Her husband, a real good, hard-working guy, is insulted by her for “working too much” (as if the money for the 5-bedroom house falls out of the sky), for not being as much fun, and not going to the gym as much. And her friends are like “his loss, girl!”

Bottom line: Men are crapped all over, and society encourages it, almost demands it, And many are checking out. I don’t blame them. … Men today are told they’d better put up with it, or they are the dirtbags and the problem.

Tweaking our gut bacteria could help protect our brain from strokes

HEALTH: Tweaking our gut bacteria could help protect our brain from strokes. The two kilograms of bacteria in our gut seem to have all sorts of effects on us, as modern medical research is suddenly finding out. Experiments with mice showed that certain types of stomach microbes can actually help reduce the severity of strokes by 60%. The gut bacteria seem to be intimately linked to our immune system.

If our government didn’t spend so much money on global warming then it could spend more on medical research.

Wireless mice leave billions at risk of computer hack

TECH: Wireless mice leave billions at risk of computer hack, by Ben Gruber. Many wireless mice use unencrypted signals to communicate with computers. An attacker can send signals to your computer from up to 180 meters away, using a simple line of code to trick the wireless chip connected to the target computer into accepting the attacker as a mouse. They then pretend to be a keyboard, and it is as if the attacker was sitting at your computer typing on the computer.

At a thousand words a minute, the hacker can take over the computer or gain access to a network within seconds.

Bluetooth devices are not vulnerable to this type of attack.

hat-tip Matthew

Saudi government ‘wants to execute gay people who show their sexuality in public and online’

Saudi government ‘wants to execute gay people who show their sexuality in public and online’.

Currently, the Saudi government hands out fines, prison sentences and whipping for being openly gay. A second conviction automatically merits automatic executions although vigilante executions are also common.

The government in the Sunni Kingdom is reportedly demanding tougher punishments on those found guilty and claimed social media has caused a boom in homosexuality.

The politically correct are both pro-gay and pro-Muslim. Obviously consistency is not their strong point, but this betrays a more important motivating principle: they especially don’t like straight, cis-gender, Christian white males. PC is really all about jockeying for power and wealth within our society.

Trump political pal Roger Stone on how Team Trump is waging war

Trump political pal Roger Stone on how Team Trump is waging war. Interesting interview on what is likely to happen and the Trump campaign’s view, by Jason Zengerle in GQ.

Well, I can tell you, having worked for Trump for almost forty years, on and off, no one puts words in his mouth. Nobody suggests what he should or should not say. He doesn’t work that way. He asks a lot of questions, he gets a lot of opinions, he mulls it. But he’s a master of his own fate. He is his own strategist.

And his strategy has been brilliant. If you had told me a year ago that he could combat all of this incredibly heavy negative advertising in every medium—television, radio, cable, mail, so on—with a free-media-based strategy, I would never have believed it. I mean, Trump is better than his campaign.

Trump has been outspent every place, both on the ground and in the air wars, and he’s still won, in most cases, going away. So only Trump can tell you why Trump does the things Trump does.

Why the Corporate Media Hates Sanders

Why the Corporate Media Hates Sanders, by Charles Hugh Smith.

Everyone who isn’t willfully blind knows that the Corporate (mainstream) Media doesn’t give the same coverage to Bernie Sanders as it does to his opponent, Hillary Clinton.

Bernie’s rallies go unmentioned, his victories are given short shrift and his personal narrative–practically ideal for media glorification–is mentioned in passing, if at all.

A media professional clued me into why the Corporate Media hates Bernie and will move Heaven and Earth to defeat him: Sanders is the only candidate who is seriously promoting campaign finance reform.

When a Super-PAC raises $100 million for Hillary, Jeb, et al., where does 90% of that money go? To the Corporate Media. Corporate Media gorges on political media buys every two years, and increasingly depends on this feasting on Super-PAC money for its outsized profits.

Imagine the horrific fate of the losers after the climate policy debate ends

Imagine the horrific fate of the losers after the climate policy debate ends. Fabius Maximus speculates on the two extreme scenarios:

First, hard times for climate scientists.

Climate scientists have staked the reputation of their field on an increased occurrence of extreme weather during the next few years. … As a result Leftists frequently speak casually of our certain doom.

What do you call a climate scientist? Waiter!

Second, hard time for climate skeptics.

If Trump wins the GOP nomination (likely), and the resulting Democratic landslide takes down the GOP’s Senate and House majorities with him (possible) — expect Congressional “investigative” hearings of skeptics.

What if there is severe damage from extreme weather (blamed, of course, on CO2 emissions)? For example, if two cities on the east coasts of Asia or America are hit by large hurricanes — with massive damage and large loss of life. … The public uproar might be like nothing we’ve seen since the 1950s, when the unexpected and astonishing Soviet atomic blasts and the fall of China to the red commies led to mass hysteria, “witch hunts” of suspected communists, and loyalty oaths.

The Left is eager to start. They talk about banning them from the news media and suing them. In their fantasies (occasionally displayed to the public) they imagine killing them.

Vengeful Leftists leading an angry public is a combination to fear. Prominent skeptics might be harassed and demonized on a scale far greater than anything seen in generations. “Lukewarmers” might be grilled — “were you ever a skeptic or associated with skeptics?”

Nuh. Two recent discoveries:  The climate models are wrong because a whole class of feedbacks was overlooked due to a blind spot in climate architecture, and it is likely that the Sun will usher in global cooling soon.

Ted Cruz dodges question about whether he’s ‘always been faithful’ to his wife

Ted Cruz dodges question about whether he’s ‘always been faithful’ to his wife. This is significant in light of the National Enquirer story of multiple Ted Cruz affairs, and Cruz’s strong denial (“These smears are completely false”).

UPDATE: Interesting interview with Roger Stone, Trump’s friend alleged to have planted the story with the National Enquirer. “Why would I leave a big old thumbprint if I was trying to do something surreptitious? This story, as the actual story says, came from private detectives who were working for a presidential candidate who was not Donald Trump. And I believe that the campaign in question was most likely that of Marco Rubio… I never planted anything in the National Enquirer. I never discussed this with Donald, nor with his campaign. So it’s entirely unfair. .. I think I was a convenient scapegoat. I understand the game. Ted’s trying to deflect from his own potential culpability here by blaming the whole thing on Trump. And, look, I’m a brand name when it comes to dirty tricks. He called me a henchman, and I don’t really object to that, but henchmen get paid, and I have been paid nothing by Trump.”

The Politically Correct version of Domestic Violence

The Politically Correct version of Domestic Violence. Bettine Arndt writes:

“Family violence is the leading contributor to death, injury and disability in Victorian women,” reads the leading statistic in a ­report on a Family Violence Index released under her name last year.

As I pointed out last year in an article on dodgy domestic violence statistics (“Silent Victims”), this claim is totally wrong. Our best source of data on the subject, from the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, shows the top five causes of death, disability and illness combined for Australian women aged 15-44 are anxiety and depression, migraine, type-2 diabetes, asthma and schizophrenia.

Domestic violence doesn’t even make the list.

Yet the same false statistic is endlessly trotted out by politicians, including Andrews on this week’s Australian Story. All of the key government bodies working on domestic violence and media sources such as the ABC have been ­presented with evidence they are using a wrong, misleading statistic — a truth they choose to ignore.

She also notes that

The ABC’s Australian Story this week … It’s hard to imagine a more striking illustration of our ­society’s ­determination to focus only on aggression by men and whitewash the role of women in family ­violence. …

More than 1700 articles in peer-reviewed journals conclude domestic violence is not a gender issue; both women and men are actively involved in most violence in the home; women often initiate ­violence, and it isn’t simply self-­defence.

…most children growing up in ­violent homes are cowering not just from their fathers, but their mothers as well — all available Australian data clearly shows women are the major abusers of children.

Calling the ALA an anti-Islam party demonstrates complete ignorance of the party’s extensive policy platform

Calling the ALA an anti-Islam party demonstrates complete ignorance of the party’s extensive policy platform. Jaymez points out a prime example of self interest by the home of political correctness in Australia, the ABC:

The ABC is insisting on referring to the Australian Liberty Alliance (ALA) party as an anti-Islam party in their news bulletins and on-line coverage. See for here for example.

Perhaps it is because they don’t like the ALA’s policy on public broadcasting?

ALA policy is basically to privatize the ABC and SBS (the public broadcasters in Australia).

Clearly the ABC would be keen to see the ALA fail at elections. But they don’t disclose their conflict of interest when reporting on the ALA.

Turning to Islam, since the ABC insist on bringing it up in relation to the ALA, what is the ABC’s policy on Islam? I think we all know.

Special treatment is often demanded  by Muslims … Any political party which doesn’t have a specific policy on how to address Islamisation is out of touch, or just not being honest with themselves and the public.

Does the ABC report on the Islamic policies, or lack of them, of the Greens or other parties?

Not that you would know from listening to the ABC, but ALA policies cover a wide range of issues:

…including equality, sustainability, environment, energy, citizenship, separation of Commonwealth and States, health, aged care, education, freedom of speech and the media, trade, jobs, foreign affairs, defence, taxation, the constitution, abortion, euthanasia, transport, and agriculture

Calling the ALA an anti-Islam party is about as accurate as calling Labor an anti-business party, the Liberals an anti-union party, the Greens an anti-industry party, or the Palmer Party an anti-Abbott party.


FBI Investigating Reports Of 17 Men Chanting, Firing Off Shots In Apple Valley near LA

FBI Investigating Reports Of 17 Men Chanting, Firing Off Hundreds of Shots In Apple Valley near Los Angeles. Police radio described “a large group of subjects wearing turbans and chanting” and “they were up all night chanting ‘Allah akbar’-type stuff.” The FBI detained the men – reportedly all of Middle Eastern descent — then later released them because they had no outstanding warrants or criminal histories and no crime had been committed.

Atheism is doomed: the contraceptive Pill is secularism’s cyanide tablet

Atheism is doomed: the contraceptive Pill is secularism’s cyanide tablet, by Ed West. Across the western world the fertility rate of religious conservatives far outstrips that of non-believers, so much so that modern liberal secularism is endangered, according to a fascinating book by Eric Kaufmann called Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?

  • The Hutterites, numbering 400 at the end of the 19th century, are now almost 50,000, despite conversion being extremely rare (they speak an archaic form of High German and live in Dakota).
  • Mormons grow by 40 per cent every decade, largely thanks to a high birth rate. By 2080 there will be between 63 and 267 million Mormons.
  • The ultra-Orthodox account for 17 per cent of British Jewry, but 75 per cent of children.
  • Evangelical Christians now account for two thirds of white American Protestants.

The politically correct assume that

…just as liberal democracy meant the end of history, so it also meant the end of religion. Once people became rich, educated and sexually liberated, they left irrational beliefs and other such nonsense behind.

Not so. Admittedly the Roman Catholic, Anglican and Methodist Churches, and the Reform synagogues  accept secularism and rationality, so “their young people usually reach the logical conclusion of doubt – unbelief.” But:

More conservative religions do not have that problem. Only 5 per cent of the more traditional Amish leave the faith, and when a community’s birth rate outstrips the national average by 200 or 300 per cent they can easily afford to lose one in 20 of the flock. … Those religions that survive will become more conservative. …

[The] smaller, more orthodox Catholic Church will have a huge inbuilt advantage – what French Canadian Catholics used to call “revenge of the cradle”. Many orthodox Catholics I know have 3 or 4 children – that’s not a recklessly high number, but in a society where the atheist fertility rate is around 1 child per woman, that advantage will show over a few decades, especially since orthodox Catholics have a far smaller drop-off rate than their liberal brethren.

This explains a lot about Catholic doctrine:

It’s happened before: Kaufmann believes that Christianity’s rise from 40 followers to 6 million within three centuries had less to do with conversions that with higher birth rates, since the Christians rejected such pagan practises as polygamy and infanticide.

hat-tip Matthew