Trump wave on the way

KARMA: A Trump wave is on the way: As plebes make the Donald increasingly acceptable, expect elite Trump supporters to come out of the closet, by Glenn Reynolds.

Both America and Britain have developed a ruling class that is increasingly insular and removed from — and contemptuous of — the people it deigns to rule. The ruled are now returning the contempt.

But while there’s a class component here … it may be that the lower classes are expressing their views more openly because they have less to lose. Express the “wrong” opinions in British or American politics or academia and it’s the (figurative) gulag for you.

But when enough ordinary voters express an opinion, the elites may feel safer, too. … People tend to hide unpopular views to avoid ostracism or punishment; they stop hiding them when they feel safe. This works until something breaks the spell and the discontented realize that their feelings are widely shared, at which point the collapse of the regime may seem very sudden to outside observers — or even to the citizens themselves. Kuran calls this sudden change a “preference cascade,” and I wonder if that’s not what’s happening here.